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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: JohnM who wrote (91912)	10/26/2008 9:52:13 AM
From: Dale Baker	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 541757

I"ll keep up my vigil with the polls and electoral map, to check for signs of cracking. But a 49% unfavorable for McCain is another plank in that ceiling they have run into pollwise. VA is now a 7-8% average for Obama with double digits in PA and OH looking like it's breaking more to Obama. Those three alone can do the trick if nothing else moves before November 4 (which is still a long way away, I know). Zogby's tracker tightened a little bit if you want something to worry about. ;<) Daily Presidential Tracking Poll Sunday, October 26, 2008 The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows Barack Obama attracting 52% of the vote while John McCain earns 44%. This is the fourth straight day Obama has been at 52%, his highest level of support this season (see trends). McCain is now viewed favorably by just 50% of voters and unfavorably by 49%. Those are his lowest ratings since the campaign became a two-man race in early June. The figures include just 25% with a Very Favorable opinion of the Republican nominee while 28% hold a Very Unfavorable view. Obama is viewed favorably by 57%, including 42% with a Very Favorable opinion of the frontrunner (see trends). Today is the 31st straight day that Obama’s voter support has stayed between 50% and 52%. During that period, the number voting for McCain has stayed in the 44% to 46% range every day and the gap between the candidates has ranged from four to eight percentage points. However, while the overall levels of support have remained stable, voters have become more certain of their intent. Today, the percentage who say they could still change their mind is down to single digits. Forty-eight percent (48%) are now certain they will vote for Obama while 39% say the same about McCain. One month ago, while Obama enjoyed a five-point lead overall, just 41% of voters were certain they would vote for him. At that time, 39% said the same about McCain (see other recent demographic highlights and trends). In state polling new data released this morning from Wisconsin shows Obama with a seven-percentage point lead. Looking to the Senate, new polling data shows Democrat Jeanne Shaheen continuing to lead incumbent Republican John Sununu in New Hampshire. Democrats are also well positioned to pick up Senate seats from Republicans in Virginia, New Mexico, and Colorado. In Minnesota and North Carolina, Democratic challengers have a narrow advantage. If the Democrats were to win all six of those seats, it would give them a total of 57. As Harry Reid and his team seek to reach the magic number of 60 Senate seats, they can find additional prospects in Alaska, Oregon, Georgia, and Mississippi. Even Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky is not as secure as he would like to be in what is proving to be a very difficult cycle for Republicans at all levels. Regardless of whether or not they reach 60 Senate seats, the Democrats will enjoy working control of that legislative body when it convenes in January.