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Politics : The Environmentalist Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: neolib who wrote (23151)10/26/2008 1:27:08 PM
From: average joe1 Recommendation  Respond to of 36917
 
David Archibald - Global Warming & Sunspots explained

youtube.com



To: neolib who wrote (23151)10/26/2008 2:46:36 PM
From: Maurice Winn1 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 36917
 
Neo, as you can see there was a bubble of high sunspot activity coinciding with the Baby Boom heyday from the late 1940s to the 1990s which also matched the stock market boom period.

If you look at the beginning of each century, you will see that Napoleon was obviously going to be in trouble with snow around Moscow in 1812 and that there was going to be a winter of discontent in the trenches of the Western Front in WWI.

The beginning of each century is cold with low sunspot activity.

Now, let's do some maths. Get your slide rule out and we'll do some linear regression analysis, rounding the tops of each peak in activity and then drawing a horizontal straight line at the average of all those peaks. The average is 100. I admit I didn't get my slide rule out to calculate that but did it mentally, by looking at the graphs, so the average might be slightly above or below that.

You will see that the next peak is going to be considerably LOWER than that line. On average, it would be on the line, but these are not average times. This is the beginning of a century, meaning it's going to be traditional low sun-spot activity. Also, the baby boom is moving into dotage and death and the process is well underway already with the unfortunate among us having already died.

The intense electromagnetic field from the psychic activity of the billions of new humans obviously induced high intensity sunspot activity from the 1940s to the 1990s. I am not going to examine the average age of humans right now as that could spoil my theory on the cause of the high sun-spot activity from the 1940s to the 1990s. That's irrelevant to the central point anyway.

It is obviously time to short sun-spot activity, hand over fist. The next peak will be 72 [not the highest level reached but the rounded peak]. During the Baby Boom era, it was running at 160. So we should more than double our money. But if we leverage up, and there is a LOT of money sloshing around looking for somebody to borrow it at low interest rates, we could make a fortune.

We should also use $1 trillion of borrowings to buy Death Valley, the Sahara, Outback Oz and prepare for mass migration of people away from the encroaching glaciers and deepening snow. Those areas will become prime habitats or at least agricultural supply centres. Many people will prefer to live coastally as the sea holds attraction.

The stock market is predictive of such things and the current declines are obviously as a result of the declining sun-spot activity even though people are unaware of that as the driving force. It's hard to sort out cause and effect in these situations where each causes the other much like Shroedinger's cat doesn't know whether the physicist is alive or dead until the physicist opens the box to see whether the cat is alive or dead.

As you can see, Abu Dhabi has been doing the same predicting and has got construction well underway: realestate.theemiratesnetwork.com They are building a really tall building and all sorts.

The sunspot recored here for ease of reference.
ih.fotothing.com

Mqurice



To: neolib who wrote (23151)4/13/2011 5:45:44 PM
From: Maurice Winn1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 36917
 
An update on our bet Neo, which you declined, about the number of sunspots at the peak of the cycle now underway. My prediction from 22 October 2008 <It is obviously time to short sun-spot activity, hand over fist. The next peak will be 72 [not the highest level reached but the rounded peak]. During the Baby Boom era, it was running at 160. >

The "officials" are still expecting more than 72 ips.gov.au They have an expected peak of 90, which they adjusted way down a year or two after I made my perspicacious prediction which I backed with my own money, not opm.

Meanwhile, are you still really worried about 40cm sea level rise over 100 years? Did you notice the 20 metre sea level rise over a couple of seconds in Japan recently? That's a much more important sea level rise and much more fatal than 5 millimetres a year. Most people can walk away from 5 millimetres a year.

Are you still a true believer in Al Gore, his second chakra and the dreaded Greenhouse Effect causing runaway Global Warming with calamitous catastrophe? Mann Made Warming is getting a lot of bad press and being quietly ignored too.

Look at this "official" prediction. They seem to have adopted my numbers after all. solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov Near enough for government work anyway.

If I remember rightly, I might have lowered my 72 to 60 a couple of months after my first prediction. I'd have to do a search to find it. They have their prediction now spot on mine. Do you think they copy/pasted my prediction without paying a royalty?

Notice too the snowy, cold northern winters as also predicted by your favourite sooth-sayer, who was right and the Climate Change predictors who said children in England would not know what snow is were wrong. They changed their mantra to say that lots of snow was proof of global warming. Such is their attitude to Popper's falsifiability ideas. Whatever happens, is proof of global warming - that sort of "science" can't be beaten.

Centuries of sunspot records here: solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov

Mqurice