To: Thomas A Watson who wrote (23176 ) 10/27/2008 6:27:11 PM From: Maurice Winn 2 Recommendations Respond to of 36917 What the CO2 crowd don't focus on is the water cycle which turns Earth into a giant refrigeration system. Way back in 1987 for our 12 year old son's school project we described it and how the Greenhouse Effect was trivial compared with H2O phases [vapour, water and ice] and movement [evaporation, vapour convection and drift, cloud drift, precipitation, river and glacier flows, ocean flows]. But there is also plant life which is an essential part of the water cycle and global warming [green absorbs LOTS of light whereas white clouds, snow and desert reflect it]. Your dew point graphs emphasize the dramatic nature and importance of the water cycle. As they show, huge amounts of water can be held in the atmosphere in hot regions where water evaporates in vast quantities. The atmosphere then ships the water laden air north and south where it reaches dew point and then precipitation point. If it falls as water, it runs back down to the oceans, going through the cycle again, but on the way overland, it waters plants and keeps them green, thereby absorbing CO2 and the green acts as a light absorber, keeping Earth warm. If it falls as snow, it turns into kilometres-deep stored water at the poles. Or, it melts after a while, before which it acts as a reflector, preventing light absorption. So, Earth is a giant refrigeration-heating system with plants, clouds and snow cover acting as mobile adjustment mechanisms. When Earth gets colder [for orbital or Sol output or volcanic or other reasons] the snow cover shifts southwards as does the dew point and cloud formation, which increases reflection and accelerates the cooling. Plants get buried by snow, reducing light absorption as the ratio of desert to plants increases. Snow and cloud increase too, further reducing light absorption and increasing cooling. As the snow and cloud cover move toward the equator, they cover more and more ground, increasing reflection. But the increasing sun as the snow and cloud cover extend towards the equator makes it harder and harder for them to gain ground. Meanwhile, plants migrate south [not individuals of course, but their offspring who leave home and find a place where the grass is greener, so to speak]. The southern hemisphere is largely irrelevant from a plant migration point of view due to there being little land there by comparison. But ice over ocean increases around Antarctica and on land masses of course such as New Zealand, Australia, South America. As plants migrate into previously desert areas which have cooled and got wet due to dew point migration, they absorb more light and heat over increasing areas of land. Eventually ice and plants rebalance closer to the equator. Then plants gain ascendancy, covering vast swathes of equatorial desert regions, including the Sahara, Iraq, Australia. All that green causes warming which melts the edge of the permafrost, which allows more plants to grow, causing more warming, and more melting and more plants to grow and more sea water to be exposed which absorbs a LOT of light [heat], and the ice age rolls back in a big hurry as the plants go stampeding across the landscape back towards the poles. With carbon having been stripped from the ecosphere over umpty eons, and being buried in limestone, coal, shale, oil, gas, tars, the atmosphere has a thin gruel of CO2 for plants to feed on and run the water and carbon cycles. That's why the ice age dominates in recent times in Earth's history. When the atmosphere was more substantial at the beginning of the carboniferous period, life could have a lot of fun and was rampant. Now it's a battle for survival against ice. People have put a tiny amount of the carbon back into circulation. But it's not much and it's being stripped from the atmosphere quickly by the green and hungry chlorophyll crowd. That's a brief summary. I hasten to add that process does NOT imply that Earth is in some sort of harmonious balance favouring life. It is not. Life is stripping the CO2 from the ecosphere and permanently burying it, with the end point being a frozen wasteland with a thin atmosphere. We can go on to add volcanoes to the mix because they regurgitate a lot of subducted organic material which falls onto the ocean floor and trundles across to the recycling zones under the edge of the tectonic plates. That adds some long cycles to the process because it takes a LONG time for radiolarian ooze and other organic detritus to travel from mid ocean to a subduction zone. Mqurice