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Politics : Liberalism: Do You Agree We've Had Enough of It? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: lorne who wrote (54338)	11/3/2008 9:25:43 PM
From: Ann Corrigan	1 Recommendation Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 224718

McCain Campaign Manager Offers Winning Scenario Elizabeth Holmes, The Wall Street Journal, 11/03/08 John McCain’s campaign manager laid out a come-from-behind-victory scenario late Sunday evening as the campaign prepared for a seven-state, 18-hour cross-country swing. Although a number of national polls, including the most recent Wall Street Journal/NBC poll, give Barack Obama a sizable lead, Rick Davis, a longtime McCain confidante who carried him through the primaries, told reporters that the campaign has many routes on the electoral map to the magic number of 270 electoral college votes. Davis dismissed scenarios that rested on winning a specific state, like Virginia or Florida, and said that recent polling in the West, which shows Obama’s double-digit leads shrinking, has given the campaign considerable hope. “If we can win Nevada, Colorado and New Mexico, all of the sudden we’ve got a whole new pathway to victory,” Davis said. “Those weren’t even on the list three weeks ago,” he said. The linchpin will be undecided voters, which the McCain campaign believes are largely white, lean towards the middle of the political spectrum and live outside of urban areas—from the suburbs to the rural parts of the state. “If Barack Obama hasn’t closed the deal with them after, you know, two years in the campaign and a year as the nominee of their party, maybe they’re holding out for a good reason,” Davis said. The McCain campaign’s pollster, Bill McInturff, said a record voter turnout of 130 million people is possible. If turnout drops below that level, it will likely be undecideds who stayed home, Davis said. “But if it goes over, you’ll know that they came out and there’s a good chance for us to win.” Davis said they will also carefully watch turnout in urban areas, where polling shows Obama leading by huge margins. Davis mentioned Miami, where the campaign was headed, and numbers showing Obama up by some 40 percentage points. Davis contended that it would be impossible for Obama to win by that kind of margin. The campaign’s midnight rally there early Tuesday was designed to cut into that margin. The same goes for urban areas in northern Virginia and Pennsylvania. “The only place that Obama’s getting margins is in urban areas so it’s northern Virginia, it’s Miami, it’s Philadelphia, it’s Indianapolis, we’re creaming him in all the rest of the parts of the states,” Davis said. “It’s just he’s running up, according to the polling data, these massive historically high margins in these urban centers.” Davis said the campaign was charged with bringing those margins down but also put “the onus” on Obama to match John Kerry’s performance in those states. When asked to reflect on the 18-month campaign, Davis said played the expectations game. He said the playing field has never been level and made a baseball analogy. “It’s like one candidate’s got clean uniforms, a lot of training and all the money in the world…. I feel like I’m the Tampa Bay Rays playing against the New York Yankees. I know it’s hard for them but we’re still in the hunt and we may be going into extra innings,” he said.