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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Glenn Petersen who wrote (94257)	11/6/2008 12:06:56 PM
From: Wharf Rat	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 541851

Nate Silver really doesn't run a poll, but talk about hitting it right on the money... I think it was Keith's show what said he hit Mac on the head, missed O by 0.1% Final projections of 2008 election outcome In the final update of his model at midday of November 4, 2008, Silver projected a popular vote victory by 6.1 percentage points for Barack Obama and electoral vote totals of 349 (based on a probalistic projection) or 353 (based on fixed projections of each state).[15] Although by the next morning the final results remained to be determined in two states, judging from preliminary results Silver's predictions matched the actual results in all but one state (Indiana), and his projected national popular vote margin exactly matched the reported figure of 6.1 points as of 5 P.M. on November 5th.[16] en.wikipedia.org