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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Sam who wrote (94478)	11/6/2008 10:19:56 PM
From: Snowshoe	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 541778

>>"at least 40,000 absentee ballot, 9,000 early voting ballots, and an undetermined number of questionable ballots".<< According to the current info posted by the Alaska Division of Elections, we have 49K absentee ballots, 9.5K early ballots, and 16K questioned ballots outstanding. Absentee ballots are still coming in, and they're still counting up the questioned ballots in some districts. With ~75K ballots to be counted, the Stevens/Begich senate race is still wide open. We have a history of close elections here, both sides are actively monitoring the election, and it won't surprise me to see a recount. I think the due date for certifying the election is November 15.

To: Sam who wrote (94478)	11/8/2008 2:15:28 PM
From: Snowshoe	Respond to of 541778

New detailed analysis from Nate Silver... Uncounted Votes May Push Begich Past Stevens Although Ted Stevens currently holds a lead of approximately 3,200 votes in ballots counted to date in Alaska's senate contest, there is good reason to believe that the ballots yet to be counted -- the vast majority of which are early and absentee ballots -- will allow Mark Begich to mitigate his disadvantage with Stevens and quite possibly pull ahead of him. The reasoning behind this is simple: some early ballots have been processed, and among those ballots Begich substantially leads Stevens. A tally of Alaska's 40 house districts as taken from Alaska's Division of Elections webpage suggests that Begich has won about 61% of the early ballots counted so far, as compared with 48% of ballots cast on Election Day itself. More: fivethirtyeight.com