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Strategies & Market Trends : Quarter to Quarter Aggressive Growth Stocks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jack Hartmann who wrote (6100)	11/14/2008 9:04:12 PM
From: Jack Hartmann	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 6924

Record Nasdaq days on the downside 10/19/87 -11.35 % 04/12/00 -9.67 09/29/08 -9.14 No bailout, WB bought by C. Dow down 7.0%. S&P down 8.74% 10/20/87 -9.00 10/26/87 -9.00 08/31/98 -8.56 Russian and LTCM crash 10/15/08 -8.47% Retail numbers were bad, beige book bad. 04/03/00 -7.64 01/02/01 – 7.23% Funds lock in profits, Robbie Stephens downgrades EMC, INKT, NTAP, many others. NAPM Index at 43.7% (consensus was 47.1%), the lowest since April 1991 and indicative of a continued contraction in the mfg. sector 12/20/00 – 7.12% FDRY takes down infrastructures with the warning. 04/13/00 -7.02 10/27/97 -7.02 Asian Financial Crisis 09/17/01 - -6.83 Trading resumes after the WTC bombing 03/12/01 – 6.30% CSCO warns prior period, Barron’s pummeling fiber optics stocks, ERICY warns. 01/05/01 – 6.20% BAC rumors of bad shortfall due to CA utilities and CSCO rumors of missing quarter sent it down. 04/03/01 – 6.17% - ABRA, ITWO, RBAK, AXP, INKT, ENTU, BVSN, warn last night. 03/27/80 -6.15% 03/28/01 – NT and PALM warn the night before sending networkers down double digits. 05/23/00- 5.93% 10/07/08 -5.80% MS fears the Japanese bank will pull financing and BAC has horrid earnings. 11/5/08 -5.53% election results and profit taking after 205 runup. 10/09/08 - 5.49% GM and MS downgrades, shorts allowed back 11/12/08 - 5.17% Treasury not buying toxic mortgage assets. Best Buy earnings warning horror.Intel just cut Q4 guidance. GOOG below $300. 11/14/08 - 5.00% Worst retail month in Oct ever. Put/Call ratio 1.01 Under 0.40 is Very Bullish sentiment, 0.40-59 Bullish, 0.60-0.79, Neutral, 0.800-0.99 Bearish, Over 1.00 Very Bearish. When many are bullish, this may be time to take profit. VIX 66.31 When it runs below 20, usually a good time to take some profits. If above 35, good time to buy. Sector Watch Breakout of the day $GOLD Gold 742.20 +37.20 +5.28% Collapse of the day $DJR REITs 130.26 -16.02 -10.95% REIT are collapse after realtytraxx showed foreclosures up alot month to month. Crude $58.60 Nat Gas $6.05 high inventories despite colder weather Gold $742 Silver $9.49 Copper $1.70 DJIA 8497.31 down -3.82% -337.94 S&P 873.29 down -4.17% -38.0 NASDAQ 1516.85 down -5.0% -79.85 Quote of the day These erratic swings make it hard to build positions or to even hold stocks. James De Porres The portfolio was down 8.12% no greens. In the 2000-2002 bear, we had 10 days of 5%+ declines. Now we are at SEVEN. The volatility is going to be high until we see the funds stabilize. Until we get that big, dramatic bottom, it's still a trader's market. GS at $66 means Buffet has lost about 40% of his 5 Billion dollars investment.