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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: orkrious who wrote (164579)11/15/2008 1:00:47 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favorRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
Good piece, Fleck is always a good read.

His solution is parallel to mine, and very "common-sensical". Obama needs someone around him to promote something like it. House prices WILL drop until they match the ability of owners and buyers to pay for them.

Box/Jonny Dough's "Domino #1" strikes again!

Savers and first time buyers continue to get screwed by Clowngress and the administration.



To: orkrious who wrote (164579)11/15/2008 1:10:16 PM
From: ChanceIsRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
RE: Fleck - Support Intelligent Solutions, Not House Prices

I am with Fleck on this one.

I have heard three arguments against supporting house prices:

1) moral hazard.

2) deadbeats will always be deadbeats and we ae merely kicking foreclosure down the road a year or so,

3)all that money in housing represents a gross misallocation of resources - eg keeping dry in grand style with the granite countertop vice building fuel officiant vehicles.

The argument in favor of intervention is:

Systemic financil system collapse.

I have always questioned the governments constitutional authority to pursue the bailout course. That matters not. I am a single voice inthe wilderness.

Given that it is authorized to do so, I question the governments ability to to affect home prices. Adam Smith's free hand will bring them back to 3X gross income in due course. If nothing else current and future buyers have had the s*&t scared out of them and will start asking reasonable questions like....what are reasonable historic house prices. Oh. 3X gross. Sounds good to me. I will wait for a deal.

The fundamental problem is not house prices. It is bad mortgage loans. It just so happens that they are bad because they were made against overpriced real estate.

What to do???

I think that the loss has to be spread where it belongs: 1) he who borrowed too much, 2) he who pilfered a little as an intermediary (originator/repackager/securitizer), and 3) he who was stupid enough to lend money/buy an MBS, etc.

As a taxpayer, I was not in that chain. I did not benefit from it, and I sure as hell don't want to pay.

OK. OK. I have made more than a few bucks shoring banks and home builders. I still don't want to pay. I have been doing good by taking away their capital before they could make more bad loans or build more empty houses.



To: orkrious who wrote (164579)11/15/2008 9:56:40 PM
From: Pogeu MahoneRespond to of 306849
 
What reward????????
everybody is going to be rewarded?..what kind of plans are these? insane

people who can already take care of themselves do not need a reward that is going to tax my children and grandchildren


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In addition, something must be done for the people who behaved prudently. They should get some sort of reward,