To: RetiredNow who wrote (45598 ) 11/23/2008 3:22:33 AM From: stockman_scott Respond to of 149317 Bet on The Big Threefreep.com Editorial By Mike Cox The Detroit Free Press November 19, 2008 One of the more popular shows on television these days is "Deal or No Deal." So consider this deal: For a loan of $25 billion, you could create an industry that would directly and indirectly create 13 million jobs, one out of every 10 in the country; account for $690 billion of U.S. retail sales, roughly 20% of the nation's total; provide quality health care to hundreds of thousands of workers; become the leading purchaser of iron, steel, copper and computer chips nationwide; and generate billions of dollars in tax revenue to federal, state and local governments. Would the loan be worth the reward? This is what Detroit's Big Three -- GM, Ford and Chrysler -- are proposing to the federal government: a onetime, $25-billion bridge loan, to be carved out of the already approved $700-billion Treasury Department rescue package. In other words, the deal would involve no new costs to taxpayers. To safeguard the investment, conditions would be placed on the automakers, including guaranteeing the government an equity stake in the companies. Moreover, the only time something similar occurred, in 1979 with Chrysler, the government actually made money on the deal. That's a better track record than almost everything else the federal government gets involved in. Despite the many benefits from this onetime injection of capital, some critics would choose "no deal." They contend the government should not spend one thin dime to benefit the Big Three. But the reality is that if GM, Ford and Chrysler all fail, then government -- read: taxpayers -- will spend a lot more than a dime. The federal pension guarantee program would be inundated with mammoth retiree liabilities if GM, Ford and Chrysler terminated their plans. The federal government would also be obligated to pay for much of the health care costs of Big Three retirees. Just the cost of funding unemployment compensation benefits to hundreds of thousands of workers suddenly out of a job would be astronomical. And don't forget the lost revenues to government at all levels -- federal, state and local. Auto sales generate more than $10 billion in annual tax revenues, a loss that would come at a time when states across the country are already severely strapped for cash due to the economic downturn. The loss would also dramatically affect research and development. The Center for Automotive Research pegs the Big Three's R&D investment at $18.5 billion a year, a staggering sum unlikely to be made up by foreign carmakers. "The federal government cannot assume responsibility to prevent the failure of individual firms, however large." Sound familiar? That quote is from Gary Hart, at the time a U.S. senator from Colorado who opposed the Chrysler loan package in 1979. But the loan was approved, providing Chrysler the time it needed to develop the minivan and become profitable, ensuring that the loan from the federal government was paid in full, and early. Whatever Congress and the White House decide, let's be clear about one thing: This is not some radical request never before seen in the 200-plus years since America was founded. Congress throughout our history has intervened to benefit industries that benefit this country, most recently with the $700-billion bank bailout earlier this fall. The real question is this: Is saving the American auto industry, 3 million jobs and our manufacturing base worth 1/28th of that rescue package? If the television program "Deal or No Deal" drops in the ratings, it will go off the air and eventually get plugged into reruns. If Congress says "no deal" to the auto industry, there is no rerun for the hardworking families who will lose their incomes, for the suppliers and dealerships in every state from Maine to California. This is a good deal for America. Now is the time to say "yes." _________ Mike Cox is the attorney general of the State of Michigan. Write to him in care of the Free Press Editorial Page, 615 W. Lafayette, Detroit, MI 48226 or at oped@freepress.com.