SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : GOPwinger Lies/Distortions/Omissions/Perversions of Truth -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (148725)12/2/2008 12:02:41 PM
From: tonto2 Recommendations  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 173976
 
That is not how NEBR works Kenneth. They normally make their announcement 12-18 months later when using their definition of activity diminishing. They will not make an announcement if there is any doubt that we are in a recession. They were not sleeping, this is their SOP.

They use a different approach to looking at what qualifies a recession. They look for activity to be diminishing. GDP can still be positive, but it is lessening from where it was.

The traditional method is diminished activity for 2 quarters, or negative...

Both are very useful in monitoring the past and to declare that we are in a recession...and it gets down to semantics. Either way, everyone agrees that we are in a recession today.