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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: the navigator who wrote (15615)12/18/2008 5:54:43 PM
From: bull_dozer  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71475
 
Zimbabwe industrial chart till 2007:

mises.org



To: the navigator who wrote (15615)12/18/2008 6:44:56 PM
From: Real Man  Respond to of 71475
 
No, just the same reason for moving higher -g-



To: the navigator who wrote (15615)12/19/2008 9:07:28 AM
From: Real Man  Respond to of 71475
 
We are not yet in Zimbabwe, but wait a few months and it will
sure seem that way. I expect a repeat of commodity moves
of Fall 2007/Spring 2008, only much bigger. The largesse
of the Fed has been enormous, and even though it won't
show up immediately, show up it will... -ng- Gold will break
2K-3K by 2010-2011. I am managing risk in gold equities,
but there is nothing else I am doing, except rotating
the profits from hedges into gold equities, gradually.
Not sure if gold decline from 200MA is already over, gold
looks strong.

Message 25265301

Stocks will continue to decline in real terms, but anything
is better than the treasuries in this situation. I am looking
at other ways to short the dollar - commodity plays, whatever.
Oil actually looks interesting, but maybe not yet time to go
long. I expect it to exceed the Summer peak and go absolutely
ballistic. Of course, this has nothing to do with the
"peak oil", rather, this has everything to do with US monetary
policy. I also suspect that the lows for the bear market
in stocks have been seen, and it's over now.



To: the navigator who wrote (15615)12/19/2008 9:28:11 AM
From: Real Man2 Recommendations  Respond to of 71475
 
Given the Fed's actions, the real risk US is facing intermediate
term is hyperinflation. Mind you, hyperinflation IS an economic
depression, much worse than deflationary depression. It's a
depression of the worst kind. Stocks do go up thou, but
they remain worthless.