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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: mishedlo who wrote (91780)	12/19/2008 5:52:19 PM
From: Crimson Ghost	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 116555

Mish Any comments on the sharp drop in the TED spread recently? This has turned Don Coxe cautiously bullish on the market.

To: mishedlo who wrote (91780)	12/19/2008 7:34:29 PM
From: roguedolphin	Respond to of 116555

<<"Bear Market Rallies Often End On Good News Here is another idea I have that has nothing to do with E-Wave at all: The market may rally in a sloppy choppy fashion until Obama is inaugurated and signs the bill Nancy Pelosi has waiting, with an overshoot of 1-3 days, culminating in a big gap and crap event. This thesis is based on the idea that major bear market rallies frequently end on good news, not bad news. Likewise, bull market corrections often end on bad news. With that in mind, the market may be rallying now in expectation of a huge economic stimulus package, something that the news media and most economic pundits thinks is "good news" even if the reality is otherwise. Wasting money is never good news. Under this scenario, the rally lasts until Obama signs that economic stimulus bill plus a 1 to 3 day euphoric blowoff or gap and crap when the world realizes that a true recovery was actually postponed by the recovery package. This theory may or may not happen, but the key now is that regardless of "why", and until proven otherwise, we are still in a choppy overlapping wave 4 up. Either catch the wave or stand aside. Swimming against the tide is simply no fun.">>> I HAPPEN TO AGREE WITH THIS GREAT ANALYSIS!

To: mishedlo who wrote (91780)	12/19/2008 9:59:29 PM
From: roguedolphin	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 116555

2009 will be the year of Total decline for US Jim Rogers youtube.com

To: mishedlo who wrote (91780)	12/22/2008 2:02:23 AM
From: roguedolphin	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 116555

<<"This thesis is based on the idea that major bear market rallies frequently end on good news, not bad news. Likewise, bull market corrections often end on bad news. With that in mind, the market may be rallying now in expectation of a huge economic stimulus package, something that the news media and most economic pundits thinks is "good news" even if the reality is otherwise. Wasting money is never good news. Under this scenario, the rally lasts until Obama signs that economic stimulus bill plus a 1 to 3 day euphoric blowoff or gap and crap when the world realizes that a true recovery was actually postponed by the recovery package. This theory may or may not happen, but the key now is that regardless of "why", and until proven otherwise, we are still in a choppy overlapping wave 4 up. Either catch the wave or stand aside. Swimming against the tide is simply no fun.">>> I agree the market is discounting and rallying on the expectation of this huge stimulus package by Obama. The thing to remember is that it's entirely possible we may never even get this stimulus package(?)....and that could lead to the "disappointment" that leads to the next wave down. Remember we have already been forewarned by VP Joe Biden that "this President will be tested like no other President since John F.Kennedy and the Cuban missile crisis when he assumes office".... ....now what hell does Biden know that we don't????? We may get more WAR or worse before we get any of this proposed stimulus stuff from Obama.