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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Investor2 who wrote (41400)12/19/2008 8:33:40 PM
From: Kirk ©1 Recommendation  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 42834
 
Thanks. I posted a link to that story on the Bob Brinker Fan Club Blog this morning along with my own comments.

As for Hulbert's article, didn't he say 4 of the 5 "best timers" have been terrible so he grades on a curve? This is what he wrote about Brinker earlier this year in the March 2008 issue of Hulbert's Financial Digest....

"Brinker’s fund selections on average have lagged the market. The HFD reports an 11.5% annualized gain for his “Aggressive” portfolio, which is 0.9 percentage points per year less than what this portfolio would have made if each of its funds were invested in the DJ Wilshire 5000 during the times they were owned.
__ March 2008 by Mark Hulbert on Pg 3 of the March 2008 issue of "The Hulbert Financial Digest"

and

"Please note: In late 2000, Brinker forecasted a several-month bear market rally and recommended an investment in the NASDAQ 100 Index—a trade that turned out quite unprofitably. However, because Brinker at the time of making this forecast chose not to make this trade part of his model portfolios, his HFD record has not suffered as a result."
__ March 2008 by Mark Hulbert on Pg 3 of the March 2008 issue of "The Hulbert Financial Digest"

It dawned on me that the note above makes it sound like the QQQ was a trade that was closed. Hulbert doesn't mention the trade is down well over 50% and remains a HOLD FOR FUTURE RECOVERY.

How much value do you place in a rating service that measures Brinker's timing yet leaves out his QQQ timing advice? I think "worthless" for those doing comparisons between Brinker and buy and hold the Wilshire 5000 is being generous but "extremely valuable" in the "you scratch my back and I'll scratch your back with free plugs" department.