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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Gary105 who wrote (84534)12/21/2008 8:09:20 AM
From: GROUND ZERO™1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Right now, these markets are very over bought, more over bought than it has been in more than two years, I would be very suspicious of any rally now... from the previous down leg the SP futures have already rallied to 918.50, that's 68.4% from the 737.00 low... I'm probably wrong, but I think this rally has run out of time...

GZ



To: Gary105 who wrote (84534)12/21/2008 8:35:01 AM
From: rubbersoul  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Thanks for that.

From Richard Russell:

Winding it all up -- The Bernanke Fed has shot its load, Fed funds are down to zero, trillions of dollars have been injected into the economy, bail-outs in all directions. The critical question -- Can Bernanke and Paulson halt deflation and turn it into something resembling inflation? IF they succeed, the we will owe them "the world." If they fail darkness will cover the land, and we may be dealing with Great Depression II. In the meantime, we eagerly search for signs that may be pointing to their success -- rising gold, declining bonds, a stable US dollar, and a slowly rising stock market.

The action of the internal market will be crucial, Lowry's Selling Pressure Index will have to head steadily lower, upside-volume will have to dominate down-side volume day after day. New lows on the stock exchange will have to dry up, and the bullish percentage of stocks on the NYSE (BP) now 56% will have to continue higher-- the percentage of stocks on the NYSE above their 150-day MA will have to continue due north. We're now in what I call the crucial test area, if Bernanke succeeds we'll see a bull replace the bear at the top of this site. As I write, nothing so far has been clarified.

Amateur and professional sentiment regarding the economy and the stock market remains black-bearish. We don't follow the sentiment at this office (you can do that with any newspaper), we follow the markets.



To: Gary105 who wrote (84534)12/22/2008 6:06:37 AM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Right, if we do. The credit markets and the Fed are in 1932,
though. Stocks held up for so long cause they were held up -g-

Message 25270856

Afraid we'll see hyperinflation. The Pound fell 90% when it
lost reserve currency status. A devastating loss for the
dollar is dead ahead.