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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: gregor_us who wrote (15676)12/21/2008 9:13:25 PM
From: Amark$p  Respond to of 71412
 
agree, would not be surprised to see Yen start to fall



To: gregor_us who wrote (15676)12/21/2008 9:22:35 PM
From: TH  Respond to of 71412
 
gregor,

<So, it's not easy for anything to crash.>

Yes, and this is a concern for me with regards to short-term trading. Nothing will crash, nothing will really rally, for this is no clear reasons for anything to make any real move against anything. Every other week we get a new shovel full of news that one week says the EU is going to implode and the Euro break apart, and the next week we get written notice from Ben that he has purchased ink, paper, and a whole lot of presses.

My point is that fundamental trends are very hard to discern and even I question my thinking of the Euro/Dollar when I read that Europeans loaned three trillion to emerging markets/nations and repayment is at risk.

Or cash is king, cash is trash, is it Tuesday or Friday?

Long term I think the dollar must be toast, so I position that way and try to survive the daily chaos we have in the currency markets...which should not be having 2 and 3% swings in a day!

GT
TH



To: gregor_us who wrote (15676)12/21/2008 11:00:26 PM
From: NOW  Respond to of 71412
 
So you think. The highs are in? Yen



To: gregor_us who wrote (15676)12/21/2008 11:09:08 PM
From: axial  Respond to of 71412
 
You are sooo right...

Japan sees record drop in exports

Japan posted a trade deficit of $2.5bn (£1.7bn) in November as exports fell at their fastest-ever rate, the ministry of finance has said.

Exports were down 26.7% from a year earlier, the ministry said, as a strong yen and the global economic downturn blunt demand for Japanese goods.

Japan typically runs a trade surplus due to strong demand for its products.

Japanese media are speculating that car maker Toyota may be about to announce its first operating loss in 71 years.

Output slashed

Japanese exports fell sharply to all areas but those to the US were worst-hit, plunging 33.8% - also a record drop.

Shipments to the European Union were down 30.8% while those to China fell 24.5%, the biggest fall since 1995, said Reuters news agency.

Exports to the rest of Asia declined 26.7%.

Imports were also down - 14.4% overall - due in part to lower oil prices.

Car makers such as Honda and Toyota have cut their output and their profit forecasts in an effort to cope with the decline in demand.

Toyota is due to announce its next profit forecast on Monday.

Some Japanese media have been speculating that the firm could be about to announce its first operating loss in 71 years. Other media say it may post a small profit.

Japan's economy - the world's second-largest after the US - has slipped into its first recession in seven years after two quarters of negative growth in a row.

The government has forecast zero growth in the year ending March 2010.

news.bbc.co.uk

Jim



To: gregor_us who wrote (15676)12/22/2008 6:27:43 AM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71412
 
Celebrating a double for the monetary base in 3 months.
Yeehaww!