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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: maceng2 who wrote (44365)12/26/2008 4:56:49 PM
From: maceng2  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217544
 
You can look at the relationship in a spreadsheet like excel using the formula

y = 39427x3 - 163815x2 + 227150x - 104277

and put in values of "x" from 1.1 (where gold quickly tends to zero, actually goes negative) up to the 1.3 to 1.5 range where the POG stays stationary about $900+ then it quickly goes up after EUR > 1.5, best change the y axis to log scale <ggg>



To: maceng2 who wrote (44365)12/27/2008 3:16:35 AM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 217544
 
Enplusone, thanks but in general I am not into short term trading many years ago I tried my hand only to realize that it is not for me.

Usually I am trying to identify longer term trends based on fundamentals so far it works best for me, as I also have a real business to care for.

So far so good USD is down - corn, wheat are up over 25% since the start of December - partly USD related and partly fundamentals.

Oil also seems to form a bottom and for sure is oversold last time oil bottomed in 86 and then 99 at around $10 if I remember correctly but this was long time ago. Today China and India have a substantial fleet of cars and if oil prices are adjusted for real inflation since 1986 and USD rates of 1999 we are now close to the bottom.

inflationdata.com

futuresbuzz.com