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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (44368)12/26/2008 6:47:24 PM
From: maceng2  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 217543
 
Thanks for the link.

The work looks good. It's more big picture stuff though but with less precision.

Yes, I also use multivariate regression software when I look at data sets. I have an engineering background. My intention is to keep looking with a higher precision to detect policy and trend changes wrt currencies.

The USD has been making some wild swings recently.

Just thinking about things, a cubic EUR/USD type relationship would suit the POG better.

When the ratio is near one, this represents the world "returned to normal", the blip with the banks, derivatives and BK's is over and the dollar rules. Gold is worthless. You are charged a fee to dump gold in the trash can as it's so heavy to transport to the landfill site.

When the EUR/USD ratio tends to two, the dollar is no longer the world's reserve currency. Banks and governments crumble. Iranian dictators encourage meek nations to sell oil in Euros. Fear rules. Gold quickly goes to the moon.



To: carranza2 who wrote (44368)12/26/2008 7:39:45 PM
From: desert dweller  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217543
 
c2,a little off topic but,what role does the gold holdings of the US at 8,160 some odd tons play when nations like China hold only 400 or 600 tons? Is there no connection in that and holding down real price of gold? And how does that play into the US losing king of the hill status and replaced by that merry band of fellows at the People's Republic?