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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: tejek who wrote (174313)12/29/2008 4:08:47 PM
From: Lizzie TudorRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 306849
 
plus the real problem with Madoff is I'll bet they figure out that he was NOT a Ponzi scheme until sometime in this decade. His prior returns in the roaring bull market were probably accurate. thats the way it usually goes. He was chair of NASD when the Nasdaq indices were around 200 pts. All he every saw was a bull in that until 2001. Just like Bill Miller, one strategy returned colossal results until the government takes so many wrong turns we are back in the 70s. But by the time they recognize this its too late.

Why would Madoff have STARTED OUT with a Ponzi scheme? There was no reason for it. No, I think he had a big name a big fund and a big image/ego, and he made a few bad bets and wiped himself out. Probably this decade sometime.



To: tejek who wrote (174313)12/29/2008 4:11:17 PM
From: Think4YourselfRespond to of 306849
 
You both have excellent arguments. Ugly problem.

Madoff knew what he was doing, and did it intentionally. He is no better than a##holes like Jeff Skilling or Bernie Ebbers. Take their body organs, blood, and plasma right now, and give them to people who need them. Let those clowns do some small good for humanity.



To: tejek who wrote (174313)12/29/2008 5:00:21 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favorRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
Because in a Ponzi scheme, old investors are paid from new investor's principal. So the damages are intentionally asymmetric. Case law has hashed this out, most recently in the Sam Israel/Bayou Investment Fund case.



To: tejek who wrote (174313)12/29/2008 5:05:38 PM
From: neolibRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
How do you know who is tipped off about it being a Ponzi scheme? If investing in a Ponzi scheme is risk free, other than being the final bag holders, you should expect to see lots of Ponzi schemes being run, with lots of difficult to prove "insider" transactions. At least that is what I would expect to see develop.



To: tejek who wrote (174313)12/29/2008 5:16:57 PM
From: neolibRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
Perhaps another way to consider it is wrt to state laws on possession of stolen property. The people cashed out early in a Ponzi scheme are in some sense in possession of stolen money. State laws vary as to how this is treated (amount can change the crime from misdemeanor to felony, and laws also vary widely on the effect of knowledge about the property being stolen). For some states, simply getting too good of a deal seems to be indication that you have reason to think the property is stolen. In that case, plenty of these Madoff investors had reason to think so as well.



To: tejek who wrote (174313)12/29/2008 10:25:58 PM
From: bentwayRespond to of 306849
 
I thought the whole trick with Ponzi schemes was to FIFO them!