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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (84675)12/29/2008 9:51:17 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
All commodities are. Sometimes they even work -g-
Gold also has a 9-year cycle. In a secular gold bear market move 3 up
years are followed by 6 down years, in a bull market 6 up
years are followed by 3 down years, so one has to be careful,
since gold ran up from 2001 to Spring 2008. According to these
cycles, it could have an interim bear market until 2010,
and seasonal topping should happen around February/March, with
a lower low set some time in August 2009. Of course, nothing
is set in stone, and the Fed printing at warp speed could
propel gold much higher despite all these cycles, or it just
finishes the interim bear early.



To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (84675)12/29/2008 10:07:47 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
The 9-year cycle is the natural breathing of the gold market.
The Fed is unnatural force, and gold responds... -g-



To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (84675)12/29/2008 11:23:13 PM
From: Investor2  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Question To All: Does anyone have an idea of what to do with "new money" that should go into fixed-income, per my asset allocation model? I usually go with T-Bills, T-Bonds, or GNMAs, but interest rates are so low that there is very little reward for investing.

Same question for cash equivalents. What are you doing with your very short-term money, now that T-Bills are at 0.0 percent, with standard money market rates not much higher?

Any ideas would be appreciated.

I2