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To: steve harris who wrote (3704)12/31/2008 11:16:47 AM
From: RetiredNow1 Recommendation  Respond to of 86355
 
Did you notice that those crazy scientist pranksters at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory are creating more studies for tin hat folks like you to get all upset about? I guess this is more science and statistics that you'll have to deride and ignore.


NASA Study Links Severe Storm Increases, Global Warming

12.19.08
nasa.gov

Category 5 hurricane Katrina Extremely high clouds, known as deep convective clouds, are typically associated with severe storms and rainfall. In this AIRS image of Hurricane Katrina, taken August 28, 2005, the day before Katrina made landfall in Louisiana, the eye of the storm was surrounded by a "super cluster" of 528 deep convective clouds (depicted in dark blue). The temperatures of the tops of such clouds are colder than 210 degrees Kelvin (-82 degrees Fahrenheit). Image credit: NASA/JPL


PASADENA, Calif. -- The frequency of extremely high clouds in Earth's tropics -- the type associated with severe storms and rainfall -- is increasing as a result of global warming, according to a study by scientists at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, Calif.

In a presentation today to the fall meeting of the American Geophysical Union in San Francisco, JPL Senior Research Scientist Hartmut Aumann outlined the results of a study based on five years of data from the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) instrument on NASA's Aqua spacecraft. The AIRS data were used to observe certain types of tropical clouds linked with severe storms, torrential rain and hail. The instrument typically detects about 6,000 of these clouds each day. Aumann and his team found a strong correlation between the frequency of these clouds and seasonal variations in the average sea surface temperature of the tropical oceans.

For every degree Centigrade (1.8 degrees Fahrenheit) increase in average ocean surface temperature, the team observed a 45-percent increase in the frequency of the very high clouds.
At the present rate of global warming of 0.13 degrees Celsius (0.23 degrees Fahrenheit) per decade, the team inferred the frequency of these storms can be expected to increase by six percent per decade.

Climate modelers have long speculated that the frequency and intensity of severe storms may or may not increase with global warming. Aumann said results of the study will help improve their models.

"Clouds and rain have been the weakest link in climate prediction," said Aumann. "The interaction between the daytime warming of the sea surface under clear-sky conditions and increases in the formation of low clouds, high clouds and, ultimately, rain is very complicated. The high clouds in our observations?typically at altitudes of 20 kilometers (12 miles) and higher?present the greatest difficulties for current climate models, which aren't able to resolve cloud structures smaller than about 250 kilometers (155 miles) in size."

Aumann said the results of his study, published recently in Geophysical Research Letters, are consistent with another NASA-funded study by Frank Wentz and colleagues in 2005. That study found an increase in the global rain rate of 1.5 percent per decade over 18 years, a value that is about five times higher than the value estimated by climate models that were used in the 2007 report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

JPL manages the AIRS project for NASA's Science Mission Directorate, Washington. For more information on AIRS, visit airs.jpl.nasa.gov .

JPL is managed for NASA by the California Institute of Technology in Pasadena.



To: steve harris who wrote (3704)12/31/2008 12:08:07 PM
From: RetiredNow  Respond to of 86355
 
What is it about the chart below that you don't understand? Is the upward trend just a hoax? Are all scientists on Earth involved in a grand scheme to fool just you, in order to make you unhappy? I suggest you look into Occam's Razor.

ncdc.noaa.gov


earthobservatory.nasa.gov;
The current global annual temperature is based on temperature records from weather stations, ships, and satellites averaged over the whole globe for a calendar year.

Temperature measurements taken on land show that the average annual temperature has increased 1° C since the 1880s.

During this time, the global annual temperature rose from an average value of 13.6 to 14.6° Celsius.

The largest increase occurred between 1960 and the present when temperatures increased 0.7° Celsius in just 40 years.

During the previous 80 years, temperatures had risen by 0.3° Celsius.

nasa.gov
Since the late 1800's, the global average temperature has increased about 0.7 to 1.4 degrees F (0.4 to 0.8 degrees C). Many experts estimate that the average temperature will rise an additional 2.5 to 10.4 degrees F (1.4 to 5.8 degrees C) by 2100. That rate of increase would be much larger than most past rates of increase.