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Politics : Liberalism: Do You Agree We've Had Enough of It? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (57613)1/14/2009 4:06:56 PM
From: DizzyG2 Recommendations  Respond to of 224755
 
Global Warming is Really Global Cooling
January 6, 2009
by Christopher Monckton

On 2 January 2009, the Wall Street Journal wrote one of a series of articles apparently co-ordinated throughout the generally alarmist news media throughout the holiday season, trying to overcome the problem posed for "global warming" alarmists by the fact that global mean surface temperatures have been on a downtrend for eight straight years (Figure 1):

Figure 1

Eight straight years' global temperature downtrend: The authoritative SPPI composite index of global mean surface temperature anomalies, taking the mean of two surface and two satellite datasets and updated through November 2008, shows a pronounced downtrend for eight full years. Not one of the climate models relied upon by the IPCC had predicted this downturn. The pink region shows the IPCC's projected rates of temperature increase: the thick red straight line - entirely outside and below the pink region shows the real trend, calculated as the least-squares linear regression on the composite temperature anomalies.

In the article, entitled The Warming Earth Blows Hot, Cold and Chaotic, the Wall Street Journal starts out by admitting that "three independent research groups" had concluded that 2008 was a comparatively cool year. Even so, the article said, the year's global temperature was the 9th or 10th warmest since reliable record-keeping began in 1850, though it was the coldest since the turn of the 21st century.

The article, having mentioned last year's cooling through gritted teeth, but somehow not having mentioned that there has been a downtrend in temperatures not for one year but for eight straight years, then lists a series of bugaboos nearly all of which depend on the weather having warmed over the past decade when in fact it has cooled.

The article frets that "higher temperatures make weather patterns more unstable"; that "the planet has grown steadily warmer in recent decades"; that "almost all of the warming in North America has taken place since 1970"; that "the effects of rising temperatures are accelerating"; that "ice loss is happening faster than the models are showing"; that "Greenland has lost an area of ice ten times the size of Manhattan"; that "Alaska's low-lying ice-fields are disappearing"; that "tropical storms can be expected to increase by 6% every 10 years"; that 2007's Atlantic hurricane season was "the fourth most active in 64 years"; that "solar heat is the energy that drives the world's weather, and greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide and methane are allowing more of that energy to build up in the atmosphere every year"; and that "so many subtle changes in so many different places, building up decade after decade, add up to something more than the weather's natural variation".

The truth: Since global temperatures have followed a cooling trend for eight straight years (or 11, if one goes back to the exceptionally warm el Nino year of 1998), most of the supposed recent consequences of "global warming" mentioned in the article - to the extent that the phenomena mentioned have occurred at all - cannot possibly have arisen because of "global warming", because there has not been any. What is more, it is not only the atmosphere but also the oceans that have shown a cooling trend. Not one of the models relied upon by the IPCC had forecast the cooling. The pink region in Figure 1 is the IPCC's range of projections for future "global warming", starting in 2001. It bears no correlation whatsoever to the observed downtrend. From January 2009, SPPI will be publishing a monthly-updated CO2 Report that will make these and other data regularly available, and will help to dispel climate myths such as those perpetrated and perpetuated in the Wall Street Journal.

"Higher temperatures make weather patterns more unstable": In fact, the reverse is true. The world has warmed by 0.7 degrees C since 1900: yet, despite this warming, the number of landfalling Atlantic hurricanes shows no trend at all throughout the 20th century; the number of intense tropical cyclones and typhoons has been falling throughout the 30-year period of the satellite record; and it is settled science that, outside the tropics, warmer weather will generally mean fewer storms, because the differential between warmer and cooler parts of the globe will diminish.

"The planet has grown steadily warmer in recent decades": In fact, the reverse is true. The fastest rate of growth in global temperature, at a rate equivalent to almost 2 degrees Celsius per century, was between 1910 and 1930. No "recent decade" has matched that warming rate, though 1975-1998 came close. Between 1940 and 1975, and again between 2001 and the present, global temperatures have exhibited a downtrend. In fact, the current warming began 300 years ago, at the end of the Maunder Minimum, a 70-year period when there were very few sunspots on the face of the Sun. Between 1700 and 1735, according to the world's oldest instrumental temperature dataset, the temperature in central England rose by 2.2 degrees C, equivalent to 6.3 C/century, or about nine times the warming rate seen in the 20th century.

The warming of the planet parallels the increase in the Sun's activity between the end of the Maunder Minimum 300 years ago and the end of the 70-year solar Grand Maximum in 1998. During the Grand Maximum, the Sun was more active, and for longer, than during almost any similar previous period in the past 11,400 years (Solanki et al., 2005). For at least 275 of the 300 years' warming, humankind cannot have had anything much to do with the warming. Given the inexorable increase in solar activity throughout the past 300 years (see Hathaway, 2004: Figure 2), it is no surprise that the weather is warmer now than it was 30 or 50 or 100 or 200 or 300 years ago.

rightsidenews.com

Make sure you take a look at the full PDF version here:
scienceandpublicpolicy.org

You will especially appreciate the graph showing the cooling trend over the last 10 years. Even better is the predicted temperatures from the IPCC models. LOL!

Diz-



To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (57613)1/14/2009 4:13:30 PM
From: DizzyG1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 224755
 
Exaggerating again, Kenneth?

I say they are the grad school graduates and college graduates with their student loan debts of $100,000 - $200,000.

100,000 to 200,000? I really don't think so:

Sticker Price vs. Affordability

Although some of the college price tags you hear about can be quite daunting—$35,000 or more for yearly tuition and fees—most colleges are more affordable than you might think. For example, did you know that about 56 percent of students attend four-year schools with annual tuition and fees below $9,000? After grants are taken into consideration, the net price the average undergraduate pays for a college education is significantly lower than the published tuition and fees. And remember, other forms of financial aid will further reduce the amount your family will actually pay.

collegeboard.com

Hmm...9,000 per year? By my count that's only 36,000 for 4 years. Where did you get your 100,000 to 200,000 numbers?

LOL!

Diz-



To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (57613)1/15/2009 10:41:16 AM
From: Ann Corrigan2 Recommendations  Respond to of 224755
 
Ken, powerful pens will ultimately prove mightier than the indoctrination academies in the USA:

Why We Fight

by Andrew Klavan

This is by way of a friendly response to the estimable Jay Nordlinger, Senior Editor at the likewise estimable National Review. Jay wrote a strong column yesterday openly saying what I’ve been hearing many conservatives express tacitly ever since the election. Reflecting on the media’s disgraceful distortion of the characters of George W. Bush, Dick Cheney and Sarah Palin, he wrote:

“It seems to me that the Left has won: utterly and decisively. What I mean is, the Saturday Night Live, Jon Stewart, Bill Maher mentality has prevailed. They decide what a person’s image is, and those images stick. They are the ones who say that Cheney’s a monster, W.’s stupid, and Palin’s a bimbo. And the country, apparently, follows.”

I’ve been hearing and reading prominent conservatives and Republicans say nearly as much on television, in print and in private conversation ever since the election. They say Sarah Palin can never make a comeback. They say the fight for small government has been lost. They say we can’t have immigration reform that protects our borders. They say we have to distance ourselves from “embarrassing” commentators like Rush Limbaugh or Ann Coulter.

No, no, no, no. What the right is experiencing at the moment is a phenomenon called “cultural para-stimuli.” You can read all about it in Tom Wolfe’s wonderful novel I Am Charlotte Simmons. It’s sort of like peer pressure on steroids. It was discovered by Nobel Laureate Victor Ransome Starling, who found that when he surrounded normal cats with cats whose behavior had been bizarrely altered by brain surgery, the normal cats began acting like the crazy cats all around them.

That’s us–surrounded by the mainstream media. So steeped are we now in their lies about our representatives, their ridicule of our commentators, their demonizing dismissal of the causes we know are just, that we’ve begun to adopt their attitudes toward ourselves! And perhaps chief among the lies they’ve sold us is the lie that they’ve won, that the media are theirs for good and all, and that Americans are going to be hoodwinked and brainwashed by their constant barrage of misinformation forever.

Well, only if we let them. And only if we in the media surrender first.

Look, the American media are in a bad way, a disastrous way. Movies, TV, literature–instead of illuminating vehicles for art and entertainment, they’ve become like the Matrix, replacing reality with a plausible leftist imitation. Journalists especially have so shamed themselves in their coverage of the last election–hounding Sarah Palin’s daughter and Joe the Plumber while all but ignoring Barack Obama’s ties to Illinois corruption, and his long and deep association with the racist anti-American Jeremiah Wright–that it’s going to take them years to recover. When people shame themselves that badly, they don’t admit it in a hurry. They savage their critics instead and continue their own shameful practices as a kind of defiant denial–anything rather than look in the mirror and confront what they’ve turned themselves into.

So yeah, we’re on our own for now. But we’re not unarmed and we’re in no way defeated. We have great politicians like Sarah Palin–who could well be president in not eight years but four–honest newsmen like Bret Baer and genius commentators like Rush–and Ann Coulter, who’s only about ten times smarter, funnier and more talented as a satirist than Jon Stewart or Bill Maher will ever be. The left can’t out-argue these mind-warriors so they try to ridicule, disdain and isolate them, to make us feel ashamed that we admire and respect them. And they tell us they’re finished, washed-up. Why, just look, it must be true: it’s right there in the newspapers and on TV.

They’re lying. The left has to lie for the simple reason that they’re wrong and we’re right, their policies don’t work and ours do. Look at the cities that liberal politicians and programs have devoured like locusts. Look at the liberal states that can’t rein in their spending even as they go broke. Look at how environmentalists have made us energy-slaves to monsters overseas. And look at how leftist, anti-patriotic and anti-religious policies in Europe have turned a once-great culture into a corpse that is being consumed by Islamo-fascist bacteria as we watch.

Hey, listen, our soldiers have to get shot at in the cause of liberty. All we in the media have to do is keep telling people the truth. Lies and insults are all the left has got to sling against us. They only win if we start to believe them.

Posted Jan 14th 2009 at 6:40 pm in Featured Story, Media Criticism, Politics | 106 Comments

106 Comments
Harley - January 14th, 2009 at 6:52 pm
“Great politicians like Sarah Palin?” Really? Honestly? I don’t know *that* many conservatives, but there isn’t a single one who shares that schoolgirl crush. I read a number of conservative columnists, and none of them share it either (Daniel Larison comes to mind, among others).

I guess it’s an Eye of the Beholder thing. Or maybe you’re so used to playing defense that you find it necessary to defend, you know, the indefensible too. And hey, maybe you actually believe Joe the Plumber is a great foreign correspondent.

It’s possible, I guess. But it’s worth reminding you that the people who find Palin somewhat, I dunno, insubstantial — including all of those conservatives — aren’t *lying* merely because they hold a different opinion than you do. This is in fact what they believe. (And no, they’re not engaged in falsehood in order to sink a threat to their hegemony. I can’t imagine anyone I’d rather see run against Obama in 2012 than Pain; and that opinion is shared by almost every Dem strategist out there, if only because it offers up the possibility of permanent minority status for the GOP — at least until Jeb Bush runs.)

But I’m guessing you know that.

Christopher - January 14th, 2009 at 6:58 pm
It just pains me to hear friends and coworkers — sometimes very intelligent people — mindlessly parrotting the latest media spin on Iraq/Palin/Whatever. Liberals believe the media because it tells the lies they want to hear. So many others seem to go along because they can’t conceive that the media would lie to them.

Tom Noonan - January 14th, 2009 at 7:05 pm
Until our alleged education system starts again teaching youngsters to analyze objectively and think critically for themselves, and to learn actual useful information instead of feel good liberal garbage intended to elevate self-esteem, this massive brainwashing campaign conducted by the MSM will continue to succeed.

George Carlin (RIP) had some wicked comments on this subject.


bighollywood.breitbart.com