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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: tejek who wrote (177099)1/14/2009 5:46:21 PM
From: John ChenRespond to of 306849
 
"Until the housing market is stabilized and prices stop going down"

They should have done it a few years back and stop prices
going up, waaay up.

Defying gravity on earth ?!

You can only HANG in there for so long !!! Even with a lot of
HOT air.



To: tejek who wrote (177099)1/14/2009 5:57:21 PM
From: XBritRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
<<Assuming that the 6.9 figure is accurate>>

It's wildly inaccurate. See a zillion posts on CR's blog. The current number is about 11-12 months of inventory, and it's not stopped increasing yet. There is a big wave of foreclosures coming up as the various state and lender moratoriums expire, and that will guarantee further worsening short term.

Gary Shilling (in his pay-per-view letter, I'm trying it out) comments that housing inventory typically normalizes very slowly after busts like this, and until it gets down to 8 months it is not possible for housing prices to stop falling. His estimate is mid-2010 at the earliest.



To: tejek who wrote (177099)1/14/2009 8:01:03 PM
From: Broken_ClockRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
Currently, there is a 6.9 month supply of housing
===

where is that?