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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Math Junkie who wrote (42157)1/14/2009 9:09:21 PM
From: Kirk ©  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 42834
 
Your evaluation method is as poor as Dilbert's which ignores the QQQ advice and YOU know it.

What matters is returns net of expenses compared to a benchmark.

Now if you are happy getting benchmarks rather than chasing the hottest timers, then you can use my core portfolios or get get good core portfolios from dozens of books and not bother with market timing.

If you PAY Brinker for timing, then the sum total of his advice should beat the market or it is not adding value.

About once a year, Mark Hulbert does a full page write-up on each of the newsletters he follows. In March of 2008, BEFORE Brinker missed a 50% bear market, Hulbert did a full page on Bob Brinker. This was what he said about Brinker's results that do not include Bob Brinker’s QQQ mistake”.

"Brinker’s fund selections on average have lagged the market. The HFD reports an 11.5% annualized gain for his “Aggressive” portfolio, which is 0.9 percentage points per year less than what this portfolio would have made if each of its funds were invested in the DJ Wilshire 5000 during the times they were owned.

"Please note: In late 2000, Brinker forecasted a several-month bear market rally and recommended an investment in the NASDAQ 100 Index—<A HREF=http://home.netcom.com/%7Efanclubs/BobBrinker/Kirk/QQQQEffectOnPortfolios.html>a trade that turned out quite unprofitably</A>. However, because Brinker at the time of making this forecast chose not to make this trade part of his model portfolios, his HFD record has not suffered as a result."
__ March 2008 by Mark Hulbert on Pg 3 of the March 2008 issue of "The Hulbert Financial Digest"