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To: Dennis Roth who wrote (116637)1/15/2009 5:48:46 PM
From: Dennis Roth1 Recommendation  Respond to of 206810
 
EIA Reports 94 BCF
Credit Suisse analysis
Moving Supply/Demand Imbalance to 2.5 Bcf/d (from 1/9Bcf/d)

Link: sendspace.com



To: Dennis Roth who wrote (116637)1/23/2009 12:13:02 PM
From: Dennis Roth1 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 206810
 
176 BCF drawdown - Exactly what was expected.

Expectations were:

Dow Jones Survey -175 Bcf
Bloomberg Survey -175 Bcf
Reuters Survey -179 Bcf
BENTEK Storage Rpt -177 BCcf
robry825 2003 model -186 Bcf, 2005 -190 Bcf, 2008 -186 Bcf
z24blackjet -177 Bcf
quehubo -170 Bcf

Last year's draw -128 Bcf
Five year average -126 Bcf

Summary
Working gas in storage was 2,560 Bcf as of Friday, January 16, 2009, according to EIA estimates. This represents a net decline of 176 Bcf from the previous week. Stocks were 20 Bcf less than last year at this time and 31 Bcf above the 5-year average of 2,529 Bcf. In the East Region, stocks were 91 Bcf below the 5-year average following net withdrawals of 125 Bcf. Stocks in the Producing Region were 82 Bcf above the 5-year average of 774 Bcf after a net withdrawal of 43 Bcf. Stocks in the West Region were 39 Bcf above the 5-year average after a net drawdown of 8 Bcf. At 2,560 Bcf, total working gas is within the 5-year historical range.
eia.doe.gov

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Posted late today because I was busy doing something else and just plain forgot.