To: scion who wrote (105785 ) 1/16/2009 9:45:54 AM From: scion Respond to of 122087 Aon estimates Madoff’s alleged Ponzi scheme could cost insurers billions by Stefan Maisnier Jan 15, 2009news.medill.northwestern.edu Chicago-based Aon Corp. estimated the insurance industry’s range of direct insured losses will likely be between $760 million and $3.8 billion from Bernard Madoff’s alleged Ponzi scheme, with the maximum potential exposed insurance limits at more than $6 billion. The most likely loss will be $1.8 billion, the reinsurance company said in a press release late Wednesday. Aon prepared an industry-wide analysis using information on estimated investment losses from Bloomberg News and The Wall Street Journal, among other sources. Assuming 100 percent liability for all parties, Aon estimated the insurance loss will total $6.44 billion. The study found it unlikely, however, that every insurer will be held fully accountable for all losses to investor funds under their care. Aon spokesman David Prosperi said he was unaware of any Aon insurance policies involved in the Madoff scheme, and that the company conducted the industry analysis as a way “to serve clients.” Prosecutors allege that Madoff, the founder of Bernard L. Madoff Investment Securities LLC, didn’t disclose his losses in the markets and instead paid some investors returns using the money he got from other investors. The Aon study identified litigation stemming from the Madoff scandal as the source of inevitable claims against insurance companies who write directors and officers, errors and omissions and fidelity coverages. Seven federal securities class action lawsuits have already been filed, according to Aon. Directors and officers coverage is insurance for public entity chairpersons, directors and officers that protects them from being held liable for company actions and policies. Errors and omissions coverage is an expansion beyond company directors and officers to more of the company, protecting the insured from errors and omissions. Fidelity coverage protects companies and investors from dishonest acts by employees. The study split the parties involved in the Madoff scheme into four categories: asset management firms, foreign banks and insurers, charities and Bernard L. Madoff Investment Securities. Taking into consideration a variety of litigation outcomes, Aon gave best estimates of insurance losses of $371 million to asset management firms, $1.46 billion to foreign banks and insurers, and $6.2 million to charities, for a total of $1.84 billion. Aon’s study did not give an estimate of insurers' losses to Bernard L. Madoff Investment Securities or factor those possible losses into the total. Asset management firms and foreign banks and insurers were identified as having high possibilities of errors and omissions claim exposure, medium directors and officers exposure, and low fidelity exposure. Asset management firms and foreign banks that placed investor money into Madoff funds will likely present the most significant risk of insurance claims since there are many questions about whether or not these firms performed their due diligence before investing with Madoff, according to the study. Charities are unlikely to pose a large claim risk in any of the product categories, although it is possible disgruntled donors may sue the boards for not performing proper diligence on investments. The companies most at risk are insurers of Bernard L. Madoff Investment Securities , which will be highly exposed through all three product lines, according to Aon. news.medill.northwestern.edu