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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock and Bond Market-Timing: Can it be Done? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: joefromspringfield who wrote (71)	1/18/2009 10:32:27 AM
From: Honey_Bee	Respond to of 3605

Joe, I hate to tell you this, but poor allancoleman did not follow Brinker's advice during the years of the big market run-up from 2003-2007. He kept saying he was waiting for a "fat pitch." BUT! If I recall correctly, he mistakenly thought Brinker's advice to buy-in very near the top last year was the "fat pitch," and he swung at it. Consequently, he has ridden this market down right along with Brinker. Now he's just waiting to recoup his losses like all of Brinker's followers. But with allancoleman, you have to feel even more sorry for him because he didn't get in on the ride on the way up. His half of Brinker's round-trip was on the down side. .

To: joefromspringfield who wrote (71)	1/18/2009 10:35:18 AM
From: allancoleman	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 3605

Actually , joefromspringfield , while I appreciate the congradulations , my recent performance this last calendar year of 2008 wasn't as good as the calendar year of 2007 where I beat most indexes with over 6% in both my portfolios while the S & P was + 3.53% and the Wilshire was + 3.94% . Last year in 2008 , I didn't follow Sy Harding's sell signal in May of 2008 and thought I could catch a summer rally and am still in the stock market . My bad . Although both my portfolios beat the markets last calendar of 2008 , they are ended to the downside with mostly everyone else : Nasdaq = ( - 40.5% ) year to date in 2008 Personal 401(k) = ( - 37.6% ) year to date in 2008 S & P 500 = ( - 36.1% ) year to date in 2008 DJIA = ( - 31.3% ) year to date in 2008 My Invested portfolio = ( - 24.44% ) year to date in 2008 My Total portfolio = ( - 18.24% ) year to date in 2008 Sy Harding's Seasonal Timing Strategy portfolio = ( - 3.6% ) year to date in 2008 Sy Harding's Agressive Timing Strategy portfolio = + 3.2% year to date in 2008 Sy Harding's non - seasonal Timing Strategy portfolio = + 9.2% year to date in 2008 Needless to say , joefromspringfield , I'll be following Sy Harding's suggested portfolios a little more closely this calendar year of 2009 than I did in 2008 . This calendar year I definitely intend to exit the stock market with Sy's next " unfavorable " season sell signal anytime after April 20th through possibily sometime in July . ? ? Once again , appreciate the kudos , joefromspringfield . But Honey_bee is right and although both my portfolios did in fact beat most of the indexes again last calendar year of 2008 as they did in 2007 , I've learned valuable lessons about " buy and hold " in 2008 .