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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock and Bond Market-Timing: Can it be Done? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: joefromspringfield who wrote (132)	1/23/2009 6:39:30 PM
From: Honey_Bee	Respond to of 3605

Joe, I see that allancoleman has said that on some Brinker websites it has been said that Brinker did not report his one year model portfolio returns. I want to be sure that "some" don't conclude that allancoleman is talking about anywhere that I post. On January 5, 2009, I reported truthfully that Brinker did not post his 1-year returns ON HIS WEBSITE! (On Brinker's website, you will only find his 5-year, 10-year, 15-year and 20-year returns.) I also stated that he reported his 1-year model portfolio returns in his January newsletter. Here is what I wrote: Monday, January 5, 2009 Bob Brinker's 2008 Model Portfolio Performance Numbers What you won't see on Bobbrinker.com: Bob Brinker's 2008 year-end model portfolio performance numbers are out, but he has not published them on his website. Beginning today, when the numbers were updated for the end of the month and year, the 1 and 3-year performance numbers were not included. (as it has been done for many years). Instead, 5 years is the shortest time frame reported -- for all three portfolios. Why did he NOT report the one year returns THIS YEAR? Did the losses incurred in all three portfolios embarrass him or worry him that much? Or is he carefully disguising his 2008 performance from his website where new potential subscribers might read it? Who would actually subscribe to a newsletter called Marketimer if they knew going in that it had lost over 40% on it stock portfolios the year before? [In edit: In the question above, I was referring to the losses between the October 2007 high and the November 20, 2008 lows being "over 40%." Sorry I was not more specific. I will re-write the question using the numbers for calendar year 2008:] Brinker does include the one year numbers in the January issue of Marketimer. However, it seems obvious that he doesn't want those numbers setting there on his website. Who in their right mind would subscribe to a newsletter if they can go to the website and read that Portfolio I lost 39.7%; Portfolio II lost 37.4%; and the Active/passive lost 37.8% in 2008? Portfolio III (50% bonds) lost 23.9%. [The Total Stock Market Fund and S&P 500 Index Fund lost 37%.] .