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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock and Bond Market-Timing: Can it be Done? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: joefromspringfield who wrote (155)	1/25/2009 1:48:47 PM
From: Skeeter Bug	Respond to of 3605

joe, lies, dmned lies and Brinker's statistics. i don't argue the theoretical value of Brinker's claimed returns, but the fact is people put more money into the market when it is high (that is why it is high!). nobody lump summed into Brinkers model portfolio in 1/99 and never* added another dime. even if someone did, that isn't the experience of 99.9999% of people - which is where the rubber hits the road. on the strength of his 2003 call, he may well be in positive territory, but not by that much. that's simply a theoretical return nobody has seen (unless they lump summed everything into the market on a/99 and never add since).