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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock and Bond Market-Timing: Can it be Done? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Boca_PETE who wrote (157)1/25/2009 1:57:04 PM
From: Skeeter Bug  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 3605
 
>> It could force long term rates down further for a temporary period.<<

temporary is fine. ;-) i bought TBT and it promptly fell 16% in 2 weeks. i bought my 2nd third and now it is higher than when i originally purchased it. this is *exactly* why i buy in thirds.

i also own a chunk of RYJUX, too.

i see bubble and i'm going to sit back and wait for it to pop. doubling money supply every two years amidst a sharp fall in production will *eventually* lead to some serious inflation.

or if China relations go sour... and Obama is working on that with his claims China is manipulating their currency (true or not, you don't make your financial masters mad).

or if the market starts booming as folks bail out of treasuries to go back into stocks.

or if the dollar continues its trend of devaluation.

or, perhaps, if all the above happen within a short period of time. the only concern i have is that this feels like taking candy from a baby - so the ease with which this ought to play out concerns me. it shouldn't be this easy, so i think i might be missing something. or, perhaps, people are *really* that stupid... you know, like leveraging to buy liar loans at the top of a housing bubble.