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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (180585)1/29/2009 6:27:10 PM
From: PerspectiveRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
I wonder if this



has anything to do with all the talk of monetizing everything? Prolly so.

It makes me wonder if it isn't high time to fade the bounce in the refi-related issues like FNF



and FAF



What do you think?

EDIT: made up my mind, it's worth a shot.

`BC



To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (180585)1/29/2009 7:22:51 PM
From: MulhollandDriveRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 306849
 
walstreetpro sure has a lot of statistical datapoints at the tip of his fingers....<gg>

he telling the sheeple 'i want the revolution' got TBT?

youtube.com

New York, NY

bloomberg.com.

Treasuries Headed for Full-Blown Bear Market, Citigroup Says

By Molly Seltzer

Jan. 29 (Bloomberg) -- Treasuries are moving into a “full- blown” bear market as global stimulus packages increase demand for capital, according to Citigroup Inc.

“This may sound a bit ridiculous, but we think we have begun a full-blown bear market in fixed income,” wrote Tom Fitzpatrick, Citigroup’s New York-based chief technical analyst, and London-based strategist Shyam Devani. “The commodity that is going to be the most in demand as far as the eye can see is capital. As a consequence, the cost of capital can only go one way -- up.”

The 30-year bond’s yield may rise to 5 percent by late 2009, the highest level since August 2007, according to Citigroup. The U.S. will probably borrow $2.5 trillion this fiscal year, compared with $892 billion last year, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. The firms are among the 17 primary dealers that trade directly with the Federal Reserve.

The bond’s yield rose 11 basis points, or 0.11 percentage point, to 3.53 percent today. It fell to 2.509 percent on Dec. 18, the lowest level since sales of the security began in 1977.

President Barack Obama’s $819 billion stimulus package, passed in the U.S. House yesterday by a 244-188 vote, is equivalent to one-quarter of the entire federal budget. Countries including the U.K., Germany and India are also increasing spending to boost economic growth.

“The most striking feeling we have as 2009 begins is that there is this wall of consensus negativity about financial markets,” the analysts wrote. “We believe this comes from the need for huge government issuance around the world competing for a scarce resource.”

Increased government spending will spur concern that inflation will accelerate, prompting the greenback to weaken and gold to rise, the analysts added.



To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (180585)1/30/2009 1:19:27 AM
From: NOWRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
well, of course; you just laid out the game plan. ng



To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (180585)1/30/2009 5:01:16 AM
From: DebtBombRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 306849
 
They'll likely try the bad bank crap first....and screw the public.