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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: gregor_us who wrote (85361)1/31/2009 2:30:07 AM
From: pigfarmer  Respond to of 94695
 
If the BOJ were to take such a foolhardy step, the consequences would be far from bullish, and would result in nothing less than the utter collapse of Japanese society. Are they ready to make DVD players and Lexuses for free?

Their currency would not simply "devalue", but would, like the Zimbabwe dollar, be rejected from the marketplace. And even if the Nikkei were to skyrocket in nominal yen terms, it would be demolished in USD or any other currency. Central banks will soon learn (if they haven't aready) that a currency is not a piece of paper but a claim on the productive potential of a nation, and to treat it as anything else will result in its rejection from the marketplace.

No credible central bank will venture down the path of hyperinflation, because to do so would not stop the deflationary collapse, but will simply forfeit any influence they may have retained.



To: gregor_us who wrote (85361)1/31/2009 8:51:00 AM
From: Real Man8 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
“A good many years have passed since I last appeared before
this committee but during all of that time, there’s never been
a more critical time for the American economy and particularly
for financial stability. That’s true not just for the United
States but globally. To put it starkly we are in a serious
recession with no end clearly in sight. The financial system
is broken. It’s a serious obstacle to recovery.

There’s no escape from the imperative need for the federal
government to come to the rescue to right the economic and
financial ship of state. Over time, the hard fact is that
several trillions of dollars will be necessary to be committed
in a combination of budgetary expenditures and various
guarantee and insurance programs and extensions of credit by
the Federal Reserve. Obviously, commitments made of that
magnitude raise very large questions. They are not only
questions of avoiding waste of the tax payers money as
important as that is; there are also risks of undermining
confidence in the dollar and raising fear of future
inflation... we are in the midst of the mother of all
financial crises.”

Former chairman of the Federal Reserve Paul Volcker, January 21, 2009



To: gregor_us who wrote (85361)1/31/2009 9:10:07 AM
From: Real Man1 Recommendation  Respond to of 94695
 
Yes, three huge forces battle each other every market day. One
is the global meltdown, the other is government intervention.
The third one is hedge funds trying to position accordingly
in BOTH directions. 2009 will not be easy for the bulls or
the bears.