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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: octavian who wrote (42494)1/31/2009 9:28:44 PM
From: octavian5 Recommendations  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 42834
 
This is from an organization called Guru Grades,which analyzed Fleckenstein's pronouncements back to 2002:

<<Based on subsequent stock market performance and our judgments about his forecasts for overall stock market direction, Bill Fleckenstein has been right 38% of the time, a poor record. His forecast sample size is moderate, as is therefore our confidence in this conclusion.

In summary, Bill Fleckenstein's stuck-on-pending-disaster outlook has resulted in a weak stock market forecasting record over the past few years. Confidence in this conclusion is moderate. When disaster does strike, he will have warned us, and warned us, and warned us...>>



To: octavian who wrote (42494)1/31/2009 9:35:30 PM
From: octavian5 Recommendations  Respond to of 42834
 
On 4/14/03, Fleckenstein wrote:

"I beefed up my shorts last Wednesday, and now have a modest sized position. My expectation is that the market will have a hard time going up through the earnings season."

Is there anyone out there who doesn't know what the market did over the next 3, 6, 12, and 48 months?



To: octavian who wrote (42494)1/31/2009 9:41:54 PM
From: Skeeter Bug  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42834
 
>>Skeeter, according to the bashers, there were NO buy calls after March, 2003.<<

then someone is lying. people on this thread have stated bob had plenty of buy calls on the way down from the all time high.

somehow, i think i'll believe them and not you as you can't even wrap your mind around anything outside your small world.

it is enough for me to have a super january - i'm up 7-8% in january in spite of being over 50% cash - while you suffered through the worst january in the history of the dow and s&p.

oh. i can see why you are a bit testy.