To: Todd N. Weisrock who wrote (835 ) 10/24/1997 3:15:00 PM From: WeirdPro Randy Respond to of 1359
Todd, The WSJ article is a fascinating read, the flurry of legal activity is heavy monetary speculation in a "possible case", necessitated by the need to get your foot in the door quickly and in a significant fashion because as the article describes, a legal steering committee will at some point in time decide which lawyer groups get which part of the "settlement pie" (my term). All the legal wheeling and dealing, pitting the individual plaintiffs lawyers vs. the class action lawyers has created this media circus so far. Your points are well taken but the FDA is fairly insulated against legal attack.......however this battle, if it is fought, will take years. More information is needed and will be coming, some soon (ie issue of causality) and some not for a while (ie true prevalence of damage, and the future course of the process as patients are no longer on the drugs). I remain long in IPIC as this issue is likely years from any form of resolution which could even have any bearing on IPIC revenues, although it may come to surface the true part that IPIC (esp. vs. AHP)plays in this scenario as far as the potential liabilty involved for IPIC individually,................ this case has very strong points of defense and defendants willing to fight.............and while one needs to valuate the loss of Redux revenues to the picture currently, this companies has some true blockbusters products to be excited about. The most common cry from the plaintiff lawyers in their press releases has been the companies knew or should have known these problems could happen..........total garbage, and goes to question of MOTIVE.....would IPIC have placed its future in jeopardy in a product that was estimated to worth about 5% of total future revenues in the year 2000 by not disclosing knowledge of potential valvular disorders? The legal issue has done its damage, today, the stock is not even flinching on this front page feature article.....right now there is just too much more to boost the stock coming soon, and too little to damage.......invest on the pipeline in whatever way you see fit (ie if you like it, buy it...if you don't short it).