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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: gregor_us who wrote (100950)	2/3/2009 5:34:07 PM
From: benwood	1 Recommendation Respond to of 110194

I'd buy the idea of a telescoping correction except for one thing: the booms are not compacted. What I do think can make the ripples different than the '30s is the wild, perhaps death rattle-level of response by the gov't. As a result, I expect the ride to be far wilder, except still reasonably correlated with the '30s experience. And it's not outside the realm of possibility that the system is simply destroyed either by debt implosion or hyperinflation. Those would be positive feedback responses which did not occur in the 30s. Unless you put WWII in that category.

To: gregor_us who wrote (100950)	2/3/2009 11:46:56 PM
From: ItsAllCyclical	Respond to of 110194

When the S&P hits 400-500 then we might be approaching the 1933 equiv till then it's too early. Do agree on time frames being compressed. Big differences with the 30's of course.