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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (46367)2/14/2009 10:13:03 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 218661
 
Good Sunday morning to all.



Given that this morning is somewhat foggy, I made three calculations, to determine the relative astuteness of three different ways to prepare for golden years by the man on the street and woman about town, a typical baby boomer / boomerette, by way of annual set-asides in gold, yearly put-away in S&P 500 index, and every 12-months lock-ups in 10-years T-bills held to maturity, all taking account of re-investment of maturing bonds, and fudging same of dividends / interest flows, taxes, management fees, carries, storage etc.

Close enough for government work on a foggy Sunday.

To introduce some realism, I did the calculations for three different savings profiles

(i) A nominally flat annual contribution (10k, 10k … etc)
(ii) A 5% increase in annual contribution (10k, 10.5k … so on and so forth)
(iii) A doubling of the annual contribution every 5th years (10k/yr for 5 years, 20k/yr for next 5 years, 40k/yr for … ad infinitum ad nauseam

And, the results are:

Current value of excess savings and surplus capital
Savings profile/asset class
Flat rate (280k total contribution)
Gold
T-bills
S&P 500
Gold 688,862
T-bills 839,859
S&P500 650,629

5% annual increase (584k total contribution)
Gold 1,375,478
T-bills 1,357,976
S&P500 1,005,364

2x every 5th year (2,050k total contribution)
Gold 4,333,374
T-bills 3,331,296
S&P500 2,347071

Conclusion: gold wins
Recommendation: GetGobsofGold
Suggestions: PreyonPilesofPlatinum, StoreStacksofSilver

Cheers, TJ