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To: Andy Patton who wrote (37525)	10/24/1997 4:17:00 PM
From: Tony Viola	Respond to of 186894

Andy, RE: "I thought Paul Fiondella's post was very useful. I've just been lurking about over the last 2 years and find most posts merely chatty, plus the usual cheerleading and doom forecasts. Can we try some of Paul's suggestions? A question about Merced and its hoped-for speed and power. If Merced is successful in meeting its technical goals, does anyone have any idea what the effects on computing would be? The jump in power to 10,000 megahertz and 1 billion transistors (assuming this can be reached) is so large I really can't imagine its consequences. Does anyone have a clear picture of what this might mean? Your request for a far reaching vision of what computing could be like with Merced is exactly what Paul F and VK have been complaining about re this thread...i.e. they think that there is too much technical stuff. BTW I posted some rough cuts on what improvement could be achieved re computing power through Merced, I think, last week. Did you happen to catch it? Also, did you happen to catch the article Paul Engel wrote for SI, kind of like the history of the microprocessor. Must reading. Anyone who doesn't like Paul E's postings ought to stick to General Mills stock. There is a thread, (still archived?) called Intel for technicians that would have been perfect for the VKs of the world. This one could be left for information both business and technical. Tony

To: Andy Patton who wrote (37525)	10/24/1997 7:11:00 PM
From: Barry Grossman	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 186894

Andy, You ask a very relevant question and I'll try to describe what I see of some of the changes. First of all, I believe voice capability will become universal. Just as we now input our computers by typing, we will shortly be able to input our computers verbally. Secondly, the capability to retrieve, catagorize, rank and evaluate information will increase by probably at least two orders of magnitude . Along with the simultaneous increase in the world's telecommuciations capability these advances allow one to imagine a world with relative instantaneous access to the world's public databases. Such capability means many more possible transactional situations are possible. Entreprenuerial activity will transform the way products are now distributed. In the not to distant future, almost any product will become universally available and competition will rationalize the process to consumer's great benefit. I think that might give you a fair idea of what I think of the magnitude of the transformation that is taking place. Barry