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Technology Stocks : Ascend Communications (ASND) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Carmine Cammarosano who wrote (18968)10/24/1997 5:07:00 PM
From: Gary Korn  Respond to of 61433
 
Final ASND after-hours trades
(Ignore the Z trades, they are
regular trades reported late):

ASND - Transaction Log 4:26:04 S 500 33:1 T 4:02:18 S 1100 33 T 4:26:00 S 2500 33 T 4:02:09 S 1000 33 T 4:22:20 S 500 32.7 T 4:01:43 S 600 33 T 4:17:13 S 1100 33:1 T 4:01:42 S 1000 33 T 4:13:08 S 2000 33:5 Z 4:01:20 S 500 33 T 4:12:24 S 1100 33'01 T 4:01:08 S 3600 33 4:07:26 S 1000 33 T 4:01:05 S 200 33 4:07:24 S 500 33 T 4:01:03 S 1000 33 4:07:22 S 500 33 T 4:00:53 S 3800 33 4:05:31 S 500 33:1 T 4:00:46 S 7500 33 T 4:04:45 S 400 33 T 4:00:14 S 1000 33 4:04:32 S 200 33:1 T 4:00:08 S 800 33:1 T 4:04:32 S 500 33:1 T 4:00:03 S 1000 33 4:04:28 S 3000 33 T 4:00:01 S 1000 33 4:04:27 S 500 33 T 3:59:55 S 300 33 4:04:13 S 1500 33 T 3:59:52 S 1000 33 4:03:46 S 300 33:1 T 3:59:50 S 500 33 4:03:24 S 25000 33:1 T 3:59:46 S 100 33:1 4:02:31 S 500 33 T 3:59:41 S 1500 33 4:02:28 S 3000 33 T 3:59:41 S 1000 33 4:02:19 S 2000 33:1 T 3:59:40 S 500 33:1 Trades today of 20,000 or more:

tl: prev: ASND 20000 ASND - Transaction Log 4:03:24 S 25000 33:1 T 10:16:10 S 25000 34.3 3:53:39 S 20000 33 10:11:46 S 25000 34:7 3:43:17 S 30000 33.2 10:06:49 S 25000 34:5 3:14:23 S 25000 33.4 9:36:30 S 25000 34:9 3:02:24 S 25000 33.4 ** end of data ** 2:34:03 S 25000 33.4 2:32:25 S 37500 33.3 2:23:52 S 25000 33.4 12:09:12 S100000 33.2 12:04:00 S 20000 33.1 11:35:28 S 20000 33.2 11:16:05 S 25000 33:9 11:12:41 S 25000 33:E 11:01:44 S 25000 33.5 11:01:36 S 25000 33:E 10:54:43 S 25000 33:T 10:50:59 S 25000 33:F 10:50:14 S 24200 33.7 10:46:55 S 30000 34 10:38:38 S 25000 34 10:36:21 S 20000 34



To: Carmine Cammarosano who wrote (18968)10/24/1997 5:10:00 PM
From: Gary Korn  Respond to of 61433
 
Final MM bid/ask positions on 10/24:

ASND 33 33:1 10x13 1x3 33 -.7 4,681,100 35 32.7 ==== 32:F 33.1 3x20 2x8 4:01 3,600 . 32.7 33:3 1x10 1x1  Dynamic  MM Bid Ask Size Time MM Bid Ask Size Time MLCO 33 33.6 10x10 4:02:18C SBSH 32.6 33:1 2x13 4:02:18C INCA 32:F 33:1 3x10 4:02:19C BEST 32.7 33:1 1x10 4:02:18C MASH 32:F 33:5 2x1 4:02:18C INCA 32:F 33:1 3x10 4:02:19C BEST 32.7 33:1 1x10 4:02:18C SHWD 32.6 33.1 14x20 4:02:18C SHWD 32.6 33.1 14x20 4:02:18C PERT 32.6 33.1 10x15 4:02:19C HMQT 32.6 33.4 10x10 4:02:18C GSCO 32.5 33.1 10x10 4:02:18C VOLP 32.6 33.6 10x10 4:02:18C MSCO 32.5 33.1 10x10 4:02:18C MONT 32.6 33.4 10x10 4:02:18C FBCO 32.5 33.1 10x10 4:02:19C TSCO 32.6 33.4 10x10 4:02:18C UBSS 32.3 33.1 10x10 4:02:19C RAJA 32.6 33.7 10x10 4:02:19C HRZG 32.6 33.1 1x1 4:02:18C SHRP 32.6 33.6 10x10 4:02:19C ISLD 32.6 33.1 7x1 4:02:19C DLJP 32.6 33.4 10x10 4:02:19C SALB 32:7 33:3 10x10 4:02:19C SELZ 32.6 33.2 10x10 4:02:19C BTAB 32.4 33.2 10x10 4:02:18C WEED 32.6 33.6 10x10 4:02:19C NITE 32.6 33.2 3x10 4:02:18C HRCO 32.6 33.2 10x10 4:02:19C HRCO 32.6 33.2 10x10 4:02:19C MM Bid Ask Size Time MM Bid Ask Size Time PERT 32.6 33.1 10x15 4:02:19C PRUS 32.4 33.2 10x10 4:02:19C CANT 32.6 33.4 10x10 4:02:19C SELZ 32.6 33.2 10x10 4:02:19C GKMC 32.6 33.6 10x10 4:02:19C CHGO 32.4 33.2 10x10 4:02:19C NFSC 32.6 33.2 10x10 4:02:19C NFSC 32.6 33.2 10x10 4:02:19C ISLD 32.6 33.1 7x1 4:02:19C COWN 32.4 33.2 10x7 4:02:18C NEED 32.6 33.4 5x10 4:02:18C MASH 32:F 33:5 2x1 4:02:18C NITE 32.6 33.2 3x10 4:02:18C WSLS 32.5 33.3 10x10 4:02:18C SBSH 32.6 33:1 2x13 4:02:18C RSSF 32.5 33.3 10x10 4:02:18C HRZG 32.6 33.1 1x1 4:02:18C LEHM 32.5 33.3 10x10 4:02:19C DEAN 32.6 33.3 1x10 4:02:19C PUNK 32.5 33.3 10x10 4:02:19C ADAM 32.6 33.3 1x1 4:02:19C EVRN 32.5 33.3 10x10 4:02:19C PWJC 32:E 33:7 10x10 4:02:18C DEAN 32.6 33.3 1x10 4:02:19C RSSF 32.5 33.3 10x10 4:02:18C ADAM 32.6 33.3 1x1 4:02:19C WSLS 32.5 33.3 10x10 4:02:18C KINN 32.5 33.3 1x1 4:02:19C OLDE 32.5 33.4 10x10 4:02:18C PWJC 32:E 33:7 10x10 4:02:18C MM Bid Ask Size Time MM Bid Ask Size Time GSCO 32.5 33.1 10x10 4:02:18C MADF 32.4 33:7 3x5 4:02:19C SNDV 32.5 33.5 10x10 4:02:18C HMQT 32.6 33.4 10x10 4:02:18C MSCO 32.5 33.1 10x10 4:02:18C MONT 32.6 33.4 10x10 4:02:18C LEHM 32.5 33.3 10x10 4:02:19C NEED 32.6 33.4 5x10 4:02:18C FBCO 32.5 33.1 10x10 4:02:19C TSCO 32.6 33.4 10x10 4:02:18C EVRN 32.5 33.3 10x10 4:02:19C DMGL 32.4 33.4 10x10 4:02:18C PUNK 32.5 33.3 10x10 4:02:19C OLDE 32.5 33.4 10x10 4:02:18C KINN 32.5 33.3 1x1 4:02:19C PURE 32.4 33.4 10x10 4:02:19C COWN 32.4 33.2 10x7 4:02:18C DLJP 32.6 33.4 10x10 4:02:19C DMGL 32.4 33.4 10x10 4:02:18C CANT 32.6 33.4 10x10 4:02:19C BTAB 32.4 33.2 10x10 4:02:18C KCMO 32.4 33.4 1x1 4:02:19C JPMS 32.4 33.5 10x5 4:02:19C MWSE 32.4 33:9 1x1 4:30:00C PURE 32.4 33.4 10x10 4:02:19C SNDV 32.5 33.5 10x10 4:02:18C NAWE 32.4 33.5 10x10 4:02:19C NAWE 32.4 33.5 10x10 4:02:19C CHGO 32.4 33.2 10x10 4:02:19C JPMS 32.4 33.5 10x5 4:02:19C MM Bid Ask Size Time MM Bid Ask Size Time PRUS 32.4 33.2 10x10 4:02:19C JBOC 32.4 33.5 1x1 4:02:19C MADF 32.4 33:7 3x5 4:02:19C VOLP 32.6 33.6 10x10 4:02:18C JBOC 32.4 33.5 1x1 4:02:19C MLCO 33 33.6 10x10 4:02:18C KCMO 32.4 33.4 1x1 4:02:19C WEED 32.6 33.6 10x10 4:02:19C MWSE 32.4 33:9 1x1 4:30:00C GKMC 32.6 33.6 10x10 4:02:19C SALB 32:7 33:3 10x10 4:02:19C SHRP 32.6 33.6 10x10 4:02:19C UBSS 32.3 33.1 10x10 4:02:19C RAJA 32.6 33.7 10x10 4:02:19C AGIS 32 34.4 1x1 4:02:18C AGIS 32 34.4 1x1 4:02:18C COST 31.6 35.6 1x1 4:02:18C COST 31.6 35.6 1x1 4:02:18C



To: Carmine Cammarosano who wrote (18968)10/25/1997 2:17:00 AM
From: bigpicture  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 61433
 
for all it's worth...if you look back 60 years or so, the telephone (after being in existence for a while ultimatly wouldn't penitrate 35% of the population for 35 years after it's release..if you consider that the internet was not really known commercially till 1994 understand that it is already used (only 3 years latter) by more than 35% of the population...The point i'm making (just my opinion) is that it took one hundred years to build the infrastructure for voice traffic...(not meant to handle all this data traffic (internet, video conf., distance learning, extranets..etc...)...Sidgmore of UU-net (the largest ISP) says it best..."WE'are seeing are data traffic double every 3 months"...I beleive we are in the infancy of a space that has years of growth ahead...your stock questions as I see them (just opinion)

CSCO: ...the dominant player in data networking...
plusses...own the market (market share...)
John Chambers..proven to be an excellant leader, and visionary
Big R&D budget
Great exacution (have been able to sucessfully articulate the "one vendor end-to end solution)...Integrated past acqusitions well..
(they know what they need or lack and the take care of this)
Best of breed products...it's not all marketing...lot's of industry reports speak very highly of their products (more often recently)
...They are in the sweet spot and firing on all cylanders...
The negatives...
The telecom guys see this space, and are starting to enter it...
Companys that have dominated their own spaces for a while are now getting more agressive in csco's space..(i.e. - INTC, CPQ, Seamans, NT, LU...maybe one day even IBM)...
Other traditional players are also trying to emulate csco's "size, clout, and end- to -end"..i.e. COMS...margins will go down as a result of the increased competitiveness in this space
Standards battles could be a wildcard...(csco pushing it's propriatary tag switching...)
lot of exsposure to the slower growth LAN space...(although I think this will eventually work in there favor, as massive upgrades in the LAN space reaccelerate growth in that space down the road...)
Very big market cap...call me naive...but I never did understand how wall street values companys in terms of market cap, and multiple of sales..
(short term issue) - I beleive Tiger region might account for as much as 5% of revunue (not including Japan)
(MY opinion - A core buy and HOLD stock, (I personally think it's rich here short term...)
fantastic long term oppertunity.

COMS - The possitives are-
Great sinergy's from recent merger...an end too end powerhouse...great end user recognition (USRX) great network expsoure (COMS)...Very little product overlap
Modem market share will probably help X2 to be a major factor prior
to standaards being set...(this is a negative, standards are probably 1 and half years out...hurts everybody in this space...
Product space being commoditized very quickly...(notice the 56k modems are already available for as little as $119?)...other large exsposure is the reliance on NIC'S ...also being comoditized rapidly (INTC has entered this space in recent months and wants to be more known in the networking space)
potential inventory problems...(just my opinion but hardware in the chanel is VERY diffulcult to manage because prices fall so rapidly
....currency whows in asia pprobably don't help...

ASND - "disclaimer" -I am long this stock (at higher prices and have bought more down here) ASND is typical of my investment style...a washed out stock suffering tempory issues, whose market space is sstill experiencing rapid growth...
Pluses...ALthough not bullish TA seems (my guess) to show a stock that is all washed out on the downside and trying to build a base...
LU buying Livingston is just a start...I think takeover by any of the below listed names is plausible..
LU BAY Seamans NT CPQ HWP IBM Fujitso...(Telecom and Datacom are converging) will be a big year in M&A in this space...
Great history of wins with the 'bigger' ISP's in remote access...(me thinks the current-recent problems with TNT are short term..and TNT2 will be another "best of breed" product.
after showing flat growth for a few quarters look's like the CSCC side of the business is starting back on it's growth track...(This was my origanal investment...didn't ussed to be a fan of ASND, but love the merged companys...
Potentail negs..
ALso have asian exsposure (aprox 5%), Mergers of this size can be extremly diffacult (Wellfleet - Synoptics -BAY is great example)
although I personally feel the merger is a great fit and the integration of the two companys is going great...(starting to see new products from both companys merging...CSCC LT's anad Desh stepped down right away...for better or worse Mory's running the show and everyone knows it..
GRF - getting no high visability wins to date...(inclusive of the WCOM anouncement which didn't give any numbers)...
MAX TNT - We all know these issues...no need to rehash them
Reliance upon UUNT for big percentage of trailing revenues...
(think they're prettty much done for now building out there dial...)
Potential wild cards...
High visabilty wins for the GRF would be a bonus ball...
As ATT's Worldnet service leaves BBN's backbone ATT's infrastructure issues could be good for ASND
If an when the RBOC's "get it" they might make a major or noticeable push into the internet space...
As a result of all the recent mergers of the ISP's...more CLECS, RBOCS,and TELCO's need the "data pipe" to compete...
one last thought...
there is always a bottleneck...sometimes in the backbone (i.e. - CSCC side of the biz, and sometimes in the dial-access biz -ASND side..
everytime I dial an AOL or MSN POP anad get a busy, it makes me smile...(p.s. - I personally use NETCOM...never a busy signal, although there backbone leaves something to be desired to me...)
the deployment of networking equipment in the WAN space is in it's infancy....



To: Carmine Cammarosano who wrote (18968)10/25/1997 8:31:00 PM
From: James J. Cramer  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 61433
 
I am very long CISCO. I dont like COMS. I am stuck in BAY and very nervous
jjc