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Strategies & Market Trends : Technology Stocks & Market Talk With Don Wolanchuk -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: kapex who wrote (38598)2/23/2009 11:02:04 AM
From: Amots1 Recommendation  Respond to of 207554
 
Hey, I got some long positions on Friday, but I still see many bulls on SI, many used to be a very good contrary indicators (some never turn bears)



To: kapex who wrote (38598)2/23/2009 12:04:48 PM
From: okavango  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 207554
 
Fwiw, the 8 week moving avg of AAII bullishness is ~ 30%. It has been lower at other significant mkt bottoms.

Also, the Feb '03 mkt bottom saw 3 consecutive weeks < 23%, each week lower than the prev wk. (Weekly AAII numbers have seen the teens before...)

Clearly we're testing the Nov bottoms, but we've all expected that. Forget all the 'sentiment polls' - they're just there to make fun of "the other side" - seems we're evenly split between those who expect the turn and those who expect a scarier bottom.

Personally, I'd like to see a better washout - Nov didn't quite 'satisfy' me.

Trade well.