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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: LTK007 who wrote (101706)2/27/2009 4:54:18 PM
From: LTK0071 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
i deleted my response because i MAY have misinterpreted this statement as your suggesting a bottom is in, as we are already worse that 1982. <<we may already be at 1982 levels. If not, we are close...and one could argue that we are much worse off today than in 1982.>>

But on that note of will add this post on how the market RIGHT NOW, i mean RIGHT NOW is in a Ultra Pivotal Moment.
If goes the wrong way we will have the greatest down move in a 15 months time frame in Market History.

i posted this on Guidance and Visibility

<<To: blind-geezer who wrote (188078) 2/27/2009 1:11:25 PM
From: GONE1001 of 188127

B-G, this is NOT a shorterm trade post,it is more like a Twi-light Zone post. Just a "Be Aware Post", as i, and some other TAers are seeing this battle at 740 area as a major battle, the stakes are high, just want it known their are few "kooks" like me that remain on ultra caustion:)
i present this past recent history as a bit of evidence as to how big the situation is now.
I had 1137 as the point of no return for SPX, as it simply had no support all the way down to 724, and on 9/29/2008, we blew through 1137, closing at 1106.
That was Game/Set/Match.
So if(AND ONLY IF) we blow through 724 we have Big Trouble as where is the next solid support????
495!
i do not make calls, i am a support/resistance guy from way back. i do not draw a bunch of quiggly lines, i avoid E-Wave like the plague( Let it be be on RECORD Sir E-Wave Prechter is now calling for a MASSIVE/HUGE/ RALLY--he said so strong, it would be "Scary"-- he called that a week ago)

So i will simply say,if we blow through 724SPX, Prechter is extremely wrong, and so is Barton Biggs, who went long bigtime in December, and is still calling for a MASSIVE RALLY.
For the record a P/E of 15 SPX would takes us to BELOW 495.