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Strategies & Market Trends : Buy Berkshire instead of Vanguard S&P (BRKA) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Patsy Collins who wrote (308)3/6/2009 12:56:45 PM
From: appro  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 313
 
Patsy, I agree. No one knows how low this will go. Or for how many years. But I believe (I hope?)things will turn around by 2019 and 2028 when Warren's puts written on those four major indices can be exercised.

If and when that happens I think the upside will be helped by no longer having the nightmare scenario being priced in as it is somewhat today of 37 billion plus.

A few days ago I had read a few good analyses of the recent revelations but did not save the specific links from Google News. But if you look here and read enough:

news.google.com

there are a couple of in depth articles which reassured me that I would rather have Warren or his successor navigating these treacherous waters for future growth than anyone else - including me. I am personally on the sidelines now except for BRK.A - though I wish I waited longer on that too. As soon as I posted my last message about being down 15% on BRK.A, I remembered my rule to sell any investment when it declines 15%. I broke that rule here and am now way down.

On the other hand, I would be down a lot more in anything else I might have been tempted to do with that investment short of doing nothing. I comfort myself by saying I am still way ahead of doing nothing if I widen my time frame beyond the last few years.

It may be a defense mechanism, but I have become much more philosophical about my losses being numbers on paper.