To: Think4Yourself who wrote (187880 ) 3/3/2009 8:51:10 AM From: DebtBomb Respond to of 306849 Unemployment, crime seem to be linked Everyone feels the effects of a bad economy in various ways. Aside from the impact on our jobs and our wallets, turbulent economic conditions create anxiety and can affect the ways in which people perceive their situation, as well as their opportunities for the future. Many may be surprised by the fact that crime rates seem to be related to our generally gloomy economy. One way to examine this relationship is to see how crime rates follow typical economic indicators, such as unemployment, year-over-year inflation and output, or the metropolitan statistical area's gross domestic product. The FBI Uniform Crime Statistics for the city of Cincinnati indicate that levels of property and violent crime appear to mirror general economic conditions, especially the level of unemployment. In particular, from 1999 through 2006, the unemployment rate for the Cincinnati MSA was at its lowest in 1999 and 2000, at 3.5 and 3.6 percent respectively. Those years also enjoyed the lowest property and violent crime rates. The average property crime rate was about 5,800 occurrences per 100,000 people, and the city's average violent crime rate was about 790 per every 100,000 people. From 2002 to 2006, when the unemployment rate for the MSA hovered around 5 percent, the employment conditions were matched with consistent crime statistics. The violent crime rate for the city held steady at about 1,200 crimes per 100,000 people and the property crime rate stayed just below 7,200 occurrences per every 100,000 individuals. With the economic and employment situation bleak, the rise in crime rates simply adds insult to injury. An uncertain economy creates a general sense of vulnerability among citizens. An argument can certainly be made that the relationship between crime rates and economic conditions occurs due to a widespread sentiment that legitimate opportunities are scarcer for populations vulnerable to engaging in crime. Unemployment and crime both may be symptomatic of this uncertainty, and also create more anxiety as they rise during unsettled times. There is an important silver lining, however, in all of this. The relationship suggests that better times in the future, particularly with lower unemployment rates, may also experience fewer violent and property crimes. The situation is temporary. By the same token, policy initiatives that strengthen area businesses and employment in general may also have secondary, but important, effects on crime.news.cincinnati.com