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To: Jules V who wrote (37614)10/25/1997 2:15:00 PM
From: Jules V  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
Found some clues to my question here. Could be both good and bad news for US mkts:

afr.com.au
Professor Hai says China's policy-makers are "seriously
watching" how China's exports might be affected by the
crisis in South-East Asia.

There, currencies have been forcibly devalued by as much
as 50 per cent. This makes their exports much cheaper
and therefore more competitive. "Our export growth will
slow," says Professor Hai. "China will want to
depreciate." Jardine Fleming's Douglas Eu agrees. Both
predict it could happen next year.

If so, this is likely to force Hong Kong to abandon its
precious peg after all. Hong Kong might end up with the
worst of both worlds -- it might force its economy into
recession to defend the peg, only to have China force it
off the peg next year anyway, starting a whole new round
of dislocation.

With these effects flowing through these big economies of
North Asia, a global deflationary impulse has been set up.
Citibank's Erskine explains:

"If you have a factory in Texas and a factory in Asia and
you want to increase production, where will you do it? In
Asia, because it has now become so much cheaper, or
you will use that advantage to cut prices.

"So job growth will swing to where there's most spare
capacity -- and that's Asia. And when the workers in
Texas demand higher wages, they'll find their jobs will just
disappear." >>

I saw a stat somewhere that 26% (incl Japan) of Intel business was Asia-Pacific so whats the potential from all this.