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Technology Stocks : America On-Line: will it survive ...? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Kratus who wrote (5247)10/26/1997 12:13:00 AM
From: jack rand  Respond to of 13594
 
Re: Strength in numbers

Number of subs is less and less the issue than where those
subs go when they are online. The eyeballs are useless to AOL
unless they stay in ad space controlled by AOL. To do that AOL
has to compete in content against the multitudes of players
and billions of dollars developing on the Web. It doesn't
even matter that many of them will fail -- there always will
be others rushing to take their place. Just odds say that some
will create what will be killer content that takes the Web by
storm. And, of course there's the big media outfits like CNN and
Disney who will be there no matter what.

For AOL to compete against that -- to keep its subs in AOL ad
space -- is like saying that a single movie studio can do better
than all of Hollywood combined; or a single cable programming
company can do better than all.

All that AOL has going for it now is newbies -- and its done
a great job of keeping them at low level (sort of like 'pill time'
in One Flew Over The Cukoo's Nest). But they will get more
adventurous. And huge numbers of others are gaining first
exposure to online via access to the Internet at work, school,
and college. In fact a recent survey showed access from work
growing at over 60%.