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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ggersh who wrote (102075)3/10/2009 7:25:29 PM
From: benwood  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
I think the bottom will be in about six months. I'm not a very timely timer but I plan to be edging back into stocks, about 1/2 internationally, over the rest of the year. Some of my cash has been parked since September of 1999, e.g. CREF MMF, and you know what, I've felt pretty good about that for the past 9 years. I moved over a couple percent a few days ago, and who knows, maybe I'll lighten up in a week or two, add some bearx. I slept better when I had more bearx when the DOW was 13k+. I dumped most of it in the 9k range... little did I know how much lower it would go without a viable rally (i.e. more than a week).



To: ggersh who wrote (102075)3/11/2009 12:18:08 AM
From: LTK0071 Recommendation  Respond to of 110194
 
<<BTW we haven't seen a bottom yet.>> What do i need do to assure you i never need to be reminded at that, gg:)

i wish we had a a signature message on SI, like on iHub. i would say
"Regardless of what i say about the now regards a rally-ho, remember we have NOT seen the bottom yet, and if TSR is right we will not see it until we have completeted a 100% retrace to 1982--i , like them, think this highly likely.MaxBear, who sometimes flips and swing trades--forfend:)"

So course we haven't seen the bottom yet, hell the bottom could be 200/100, in what--2 to 3 years?? i don't know.
Bear Market rallies of at least 20% are COMMON, all the way to the eventual bottom--cheers:) Max