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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ajtj99 who wrote (191635)3/18/2009 8:12:48 PM
From: James HuttonRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
Or how about when earnings start coming out in mid-April and still no one is inclined to give any guidance, except Bob Toll, who will say everytime they have a promotion lots of people show up for free cookies and punch.



To: ajtj99 who wrote (191635)3/18/2009 8:18:58 PM
From: PerspectiveRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
It sounds like you believe that THE bottom is in, or is at least in for a long time. What is it that you've seen that inclines you to believe the bottom is in?

I suppose the bottoms in C, BAC, and GE could be viewed as climax bottoms, but a ton of stocks I follow never really had that throw-in-the-towel moment.

The ability of the C/BAC/GE bottoms to stick will ultimately depend on whether or not their businesses actually have any equity left at all. There's no question the banks aren't going away - but I think the issue of whether or not their stocks go away remains a matter of debate. It's entirely possible that these are in fact worthless given how upside-down their balance sheets have become. At what point do the falling knife catchers take their profits there?

Lots of things up against overhead resistance now. I guess if it keeps just on running, it will answer me quickly.

`BC