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Technology Stocks : America On-Line: will it survive ...? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Zoltan! who wrote (5258)10/26/1997 1:07:00 PM
From: jack rand  Respond to of 13594
 
Cramer's remarks *in general* are correct, especially about the
dynamics of momentum stocks and about confusing a company and
its stock.

However, in some specifics he's off base; especially in notion
of AOL using its inflated paper to buy companies with real
earnings and cash flow. There's paper and then there's paper.
Recall that AOL tried to buy Compuserve; but HRB took WCOM's
paper instead (for the same $ value). For any target company
with real earnings and cash flow AOL would face stiff competition
from companies with inflated paper that's backed by far better
assets and financials than has AOL.

Presumably with telecom accounting for 60% of its expenses,
AOL would have tried to use its paper to buy something like
Brooks Fiber (bought by WCOM) which could have meaningfully
reduced its costs and added cash flow. But there's just too
much competiton from far better paper.

As to lousy service and "manner of the IRS" Cramer says:
"so what? They can do it because they can get away with it.
That is no reason to ever short a stock." Well, short
term maybe. But things like that do have a way of catching
up to the fortunes of companies, especially those that
stake so much upon 'brand'.