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To: geode00 who wrote (193560)3/27/2009 12:36:16 PM
From: Lizzie TudorRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 306849
 
IBM should be excluded from any government contracts unless they can PROVE they are using US labor and only that.



To: geode00 who wrote (193560)3/27/2009 4:06:20 PM
From: stockman_scottRespond to of 306849
 
Americans Boost Spending Second Month In A Row
_______________________________________________________________

By JEFF BATER Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

WASHINGTON -- Americans increased their spending a second month in a row during February even as the recession knocked down their income.

Personal consumption rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 0.2% compared to the month before, the Commerce Department said Friday. Spending was up 1.0% in January.

Personal income fell 0.2%, as the labor market weakens. Income rose 0.2% in January.

The back-to-back increases in spending followed six consecutive declines.

"Despite the loss of jobs and income, consumer spending is holding up surprisingly well," said Joel Naroff, who runs an economic consulting firm.

The report adds to growing evidence the recession might have stopped deepening. This week, government data showed February new-home sales and durable goods orders both unexpectedly increased. Retail sales in February dipped just 0.1%, after rising 1.8% in January.

"It is too early to bet on a consumer renaissance, because consumers are still facing severe headwinds from declining employment and reduced wealth," said Nigel Gault, an analyst for IHS Global Insight. "But the worst appears to be behind us."

A separate report Friday said consumer sentiment, while still low, improved in March from the previous month. The Reuters/University of Michigan final sentiment reading for March stood at 57.3, versus 56.6 in the preliminary survey and 56.3 in February.

Economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires forecast a 0.2% decrease in personal income during February and a 0.2% rise in consumer spending.

The report showed personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income was 4.2% in February. It was 4.4% in January. The last time the saving rate exceeded 4.0% two straight months was August and September 1998, up 4.3% and 4.2%, respectively.

Saving money is healthy for households and the economy over time, a path to prosperity. But today's newfound thrift, born of fear, brings pain to the economy in the short-term because a dollar saved is not a dollar spent. Consumer spending makes up 70% of gross domestic product, the broad measure of the economy. Government data this week showed spending slid 4.3% in the fourth quarter, deducting 2.99 percentage points from GDP. GDP in that period fell 6.3%.

The saving rate jumped last spring, as Americans pocketed economic stimulus checks doled out by the Bush administration. People have since been socking away money at rates above those in the years before the recession as layoffs grew and their wealth eroded.

"A rise in the saving rate to 8% or above will keep consumption subdued this year," said Paul Dales, a Capital Economics analyst.

Since the recession started in December 2007, 4.4 million jobs in the U.S. have disappeared, including 651,000 in February. The number of idled workers drawing unemployment benefits has hit a record 5.5 million.

The recession deepened at the end of 2008. The 6.3% drop in GDP during the fourth quarter marked the biggest retreat by the quarterly indicator in 26 years. The economy also took quite a tumble in the first quarter, analysts say. The first quarter ends Tuesday. The initial estimate of first-quarter GDP won't be available for another month, but projections by private analysts go as low as 8% down.

A Federal Reserve report this month showed U.S. household wealth shrank a sixth quarter in a row at the end of 2008. The total net worth of households fell to $51.48 trillion in the fourth quarter from $56.59 trillion in the third quarter. The drop of 9.0% was the largest ever, the Fed said. The last time net worth rose was the second quarter of 2007, according to the Fed's quarterly "flow of funds."

Friday's data included a key gauge on prices. It crept higher last month, easing worries about deflation.

The price index for personal consumption expenditures excluding food and energy, year over year, climbed 1.8%, after a 1.7% rise in January.

"The odds of deflation any time soon are fading fast," said Stephen Stanley, an economist for RBS Greenwich Capital.



To: geode00 who wrote (193560)3/27/2009 4:12:08 PM
From: stockman_scottRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
Bank CEOs Tell Obama They Are Working Toward Recovery

By Julianna Goldman and Kristin Jensen

March 27 (Bloomberg) -- Chief executive officers from some of the nation’s largest banks told President Barack Obama that they will work with him to achieve an economic recovery and agreed that financial-market regulations need to be overhauled.

“We’re all in this together,” John Stumpf, the CEO of Wells Fargo & Co., told reporters outside the White House after meeting with Obama today. “We’re trying to do the right thing for America.”

Obama is seeking support for his plan to stabilize the U.S. financial system and move beyond the furor over bailouts and bonuses. He met with CEOs including Jamie Dimon of JPMorgan Chase & Co., John Mack of Morgan Stanley, Vikram Pandit of Citigroup Inc. and Lloyd Blankfein of Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

The meeting began with a discussion about the need to deal with toxic assets and increase bank lending, then moved onto Obama’s plan to resolve the housing crisis, and his proposals for revamping regulations and executive compensation, White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs said.

“They agreed on the need to update the framework of regulation,” Gibbs told reporters. Obama also emphasized the importance of “recognizing what the American public is going through in this economic crisis,” he said.

Public-Private Partnership

With the U.S. economic recovery tethered to the health of the financial industry, Obama has proposed a public-private partnership to soak up the banks’ toxic assets and help unlock credit, as well as new regulations on banks, hedge funds, private-equity firms and derivatives markets.

“It’s terribly important that an environment of consensus replace the polarization of recent weeks,” said former U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Arthur Levitt, now a senior adviser to the Carlyle Group based in Washington and a board member of Bloomberg LP, the parent of Bloomberg News. “It’s essential to the business community that they be very much part of this process,” Levitt said yesterday.

The gathering is the latest in a continuing engagement with the business community, White House advisers said. Obama has held meetings with Dimon and Kenneth Chenault, the CEO of New York-based American Express Co., as well as Redmond, Washington-based Microsoft Corp. Chairman Bill Gates, over the last couple of months, they said.

‘All Agree to Help’

“The president made it clear that he’d like this country to get back on track,” Dimon told Bloomberg Television after today’s meeting. “He wants us all to help.”

While executives told reporters they understood financial regulations needed revamping, they had different prescriptions for new rules. Proposals to bring back Depression-era regulations separating investment banking from commercial banking would be difficult to resurrect, Blankfein said.

“It’s hard to turn back the clock” on the rules, known as the Glass-Steagall Act, Blankfein said in an interview with Bloomberg Television after the meeting.

The Glass-Steagall Act that separated deposit-taking institutions from investment banks was overturned in 1999 with the passage of the Gramm-Leach-Bliley bill.

Bank of America Corp. CEO Kenneth Lewis said before the meeting that the U.S. should consider separating commercial lenders from investment banking activities. Larry di Rita, a spokesman for Bank of America, said in a telephone interview that Lewis’s comments were misinterpreted.

“We’re not contemplating separating our commercial banking activities and our investment banking activities,” di Rita said.

Meeting Attendees

“We have a pretty old and antiquated” system for regulations, Robert Kelly of New York-based Bank of New York Mellon Corp. told reporters. “It needs to be modernized.”

Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, economic adviser Lawrence Summers and senior adviser Valerie Jarrett joined the meeting. The group of executives also included Lewis, American Express’s Chenault, Ronald Logue of Boston-based State Street Corp., Frederick Waddell of Chicago-based Northern Trust Corp., James Rohr of Pittsburgh-based PNC Financial Services Group and Richard Davis of Minneapolis-based US Bancorp.

The administration’s plan is dependent in part on the financial companies being willing to sell distressed assets at prices attractive enough to create a new market and enable banks to start lending, which they have been reluctant to do.

The plan would remove banks’ distressed assets from the lenders’ balance sheets through a public-private investment program, with Treasury providing $75 billion to $100 billion to finance investors’ purchases of devalued loans and securities.

‘A Partnership’

“A recovery based on a public-private partnership will depend, to a large extent, on the business community believing that they are in a partnership rather than enthralled to politicians and a punishing public that wants to extract the last ounce of blood,” Levitt said.

A number of the CEOs met with Geithner last night at a dinner sponsored by the Financial Services Roundtable. Steve Bartlett, the group’s president and CEO, said the event for about 150 people featured a “good candid exchange.”

The CEOs arrived today at the White House alone and escorted by other company executives; some were quickly ushered in through the security gate by Bartlett, while others were forced to go through the usual routine for visitors. Dimon was asked to repeat his name twice and spell it once. He said he was there for a meeting with the president.

On Wall Street, the banks today were involved in a stock retreat, trimming a third-straight weekly gain, as JPMorgan’s Dimon and Bank of America’s Lewis said in interviews with the CNBC cable station that results deteriorated in March and lower oil and metal prices dragged down commodity producers.

Popular Anger

Popular anger erupted this month after the Treasury said it couldn’t stop $165 million in bonuses to American International Group Inc. employees, after the New York-based insurer received $182.5 billion in taxpayer bailout funds.

Several executives have criticized the administration’s anti-Wall Street rhetoric, its stress tests to monitor banks’ health and restrictions imposed by the Troubled Asset Relief Program affecting lending, foreclosures, pay and perks.

The U.S. Treasury in October injected more than $120 billion from the TARP program into nine of the biggest U.S. banks. More than 500 banks, insurers and credit-card companies applied for capital, and the government has distributed almost $300 billion. Lenders including Bank of America, U.S. Bancorp and New York-based Goldman Sachs have said they want to give back the TARP money.

Dimon of New York-based JPMorgan this month called on government officials to stop demonizing Wall Street, saying “it’s just hurting our country at this point.”

“The atmospherics have to improve,” said Bert Ely, chief executive officer of Ely & Co., a financial institution and monetary policy consultant in Alexandria, Virginia. The meeting signals that “the policy makers are listening and trying to deal with this in a positive constructive manner and moving past all the blaming and finger pointing and demonizing.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Julianna Goldman in Washington at jgoldman6@bloomberg.net; Kristin Jensen in Washington at kjensen@bloomberg.net

Last Updated: March 27, 2009 14:56 EDT



To: geode00 who wrote (193560)3/28/2009 1:31:41 AM
From: stockman_scottRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 306849
 
Obama Tells Bankers to Show ‘Restraint’ as He Seeks Their Help

By Kim Chipman and Kristin Jensen

March 28 (Bloomberg) -- President Barack Obama told chief executive officers from some of the largest U.S. banks to “show some restraint,” even as he courted their support for his plans to stabilize the financial markets.

At a White House meeting yesterday, some of the CEOs expressed concern to Obama about government efforts to right the economy, even as they pledged to help him achieve that goal. Worries included repayment aspects of the federal bank-rescue program and details of initiatives aimed at preventing future banking meltdowns, according to attendees.

The president met at the White House with more than a dozen CEOS from banks including Jamie Dimon of JPMorgan Chase & Co., John Mack of Morgan Stanley, Vikram Pandit of Citigroup Inc. and Lloyd Blankfein of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. as he sought backing for his plans and to move beyond furor over bank bailouts and bonuses. Obama said he challenged the executives to prove they understand the public’s anger and exercise “restraint.”

“Show that you get that this is a crisis and everybody has to make sacrifices,” Obama, in an interview with CBS News later in the day, said he told them. “They agreed and they recognized it. Now the proof of the pudding’s in the eating.”

Credit Flow

People at the meeting said the president and the executives agreed on the need to work together to get credit flowing through the markets again and dig the economy out of a recession. One of Obama’s main messages was that financial institutions will find themselves working under stricter rules unless they take steps themselves, several attendees said.

“Clearly, the president said: ‘Look you can help me by helping yourselves and moderating this behavior and bringing scale to this and making sense out of it so the administration doesn’t have to step in,’” said Camden Fine, president of the Washington-based Independent Community Bankers of America.

Yesterday’s meeting was called to mend a relationship that deteriorated amid anger on Capitol Hill and among taxpayers over bonuses paid to some employees at American International Group Inc., once the world’s largest insurer, which has been propped up with $182.5 billion in government funds.

The CEOs and administration officials called the 75-minute meeting a candid dialogue. It was a “very frank, open conversation,” Robert Kelly of New York-based Bank of New York Mellon Corp., told reporters afterward. “Our interests are very much aligned with the administration.”

While AIG wasn’t discussed by name, according to Fine, Obama emphasized the importance of “recognizing what the American public is going through in this economic crisis,” White House press secretary Robert Gibbs said.

‘Yes, We Understand’

“Several of the bankers indicated, ‘yes, we understand the public’s anger,’” Edward Yingling, president of the American Bankers Association, said in an interview after the meeting.

Yingling also said the bankers came to the discussion with their own issues.

These include concern about the vilification of Wall Street, negative comments about the economy and shifting rules, according to Yingling and other attendees.

There’s a need for “consistency from the government so we don’t feel we are getting jerked all around,” he said. “We need people to be talking more confidently and not talking everything down all the time.”

John Koskinen, CEO of McLean, Virginia-based Freddie Mac, said the group discussed the need for “consistent messages” so that financial companies “understand what the rules of the road are.”

Obama “made it very clear they aren’t anxious to require things of people. They are really anxious to hear from the industry and to work together cooperatively,” Koskinen said.

Proposed Overhaul

The president is proposing an overhaul that would affect banks, hedge funds, private-equity firms and derivatives markets. Executives said they understand the need for new rules.

“Anyone who’s subject to the regulatory scheme that we’ve had up to this point can’t be happy with the state of regulation,” Blankfein of Goldman Sachs said in an interview with Bloomberg Television yesterday. “It is an alphabet soup of agencies.”

Still, bringing back Depression-era regulations, such as the Glass-Steagall Act that separated deposit-taking institutions from investment banks, would be difficult, Blankfein said. “It’s hard to turn back the clock,” he said.

TARP Repayment

The executives brought up repaying the government for capital doled out under the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program. The bailouts have been increasingly unpopular with voters, and the administration has tightened rules on executive compensation for institutions that got the funds.

“Tarp was a big concern around the table,” Fine said. “What is the exit strategy for all of this going forward? What are some of the long-range goals?”

Many of the executives said repaying the money would aid public perceptions of financial institutions, Yingling said

“They thought it would send a very positive signal to the public to see institutions paying it back, to understand that the money was not only being paid back, but was being paid back with a good return to the public,” Yingling said.

One person in the room said some of the participants expressed concern that a rapid repayment of TARP funds might be perceived as an attempt to get out from under compensation restrictions.

Obama told the executives that banks shouldn’t return the money until they have adequate capital, so as not to hinder their ability to lend money, according to Yingling.

Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, Council of Economic Advisers head Christina Romer, economic adviser Lawrence Summers, Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel and senior adviser Valerie Jarrett participated in the meeting with Obama.

Other Executives

Other executives present included Kenneth Lewis of Charlotte, North Carolina-based Bank of America Corp., Kenneth Chenault of New York-based American Express Co., Ronald Logue of Boston-based State Street Corp., Frederick Waddell of Chicago- based Northern Trust Corp., Richard Davis of Minneapolis-based US Bancorp, John Stumpf of San Francisco-based Wells Fargo & Co. and James Rohr of Pittsburgh-based PNC Financial Services Group.

While not relaxed, the group was engaged and attentive, according to a person in the room. There was an acknowledgment on the part of the bank leaders that they could have done things better, said the person, without giving specifics.

The administration’s plan to prop up the financial system is dependent in part on the financial companies being willing to sell distressed assets at prices attractive enough to create a new market and enable banks to start lending, which they have been reluctant to do.

The plan would remove banks’ distressed assets from the lenders’ balance sheets through a public-private investment program, with Treasury providing $75 billion to $100 billion to finance investors’ purchases of devalued loans and securities.

“The president made it clear that he’d like this country to get back on track,” Dimon told Bloomberg Television after the meeting. “He wants us all to help.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Kim Chipman in Washington at kchipman@bloomberg.net; Kristin Jensen in Washington at kjensen@bloomberg.net

Last Updated: March 28, 2009 00:02 EDT



To: geode00 who wrote (193560)3/30/2009 3:14:58 AM
From: stockman_scottRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
Rick Wagoner's ousting had more to do with politics than his ability to revive GM

Lead Editorial
The Detroit News
Monday, March 30, 2009

Well, at least now we know who's running General Motors. The Obama White House, in an extraordinary expansion of the government's reach, Sunday demanded and got the head of Rick Wagoner, the automaker's embattled chief executive. In doing so, the president brushed aside GM's board of directors, selected by shareholders and entrusted with the power to hire and fire executives, and assumed that role for himself.

While GM's board had been often restless with the transformation of GM under Wagoner's leadership, it maintained its confidence in his ability to get done a very tough job.

Shareholders can read the handwriting on the wall -- this isn't their company anymore.

That's the risk you take when you go hat in hand to Washington. It ought to be a red flag for other companies and industries that might be thinking a federal bailout is the answer for surviving the recession

President Barack Obama is using the $13.4 billion in federal loans as leverage to re-create GM in the image of a Washington with little apparent affinity for manufacturers.

The president will lay out his vision for General Motors and Chrysler this week, and has said he'll seek changes in the product line-up to produce larger numbers of small, fuel-efficient vehicles, an initiative already underway at both companies, but at a pace sensitive to the marketplace. Too slow, apparently, for the White House.

Obama wants change to come faster. Wagoner, who was being torn between pleasing consumers and satisfying the government, wasn't moving fast enough.

The president also needs a scalp to wave before both a Congress growing queasy about federal bailouts and the automaker's bondholders, who aren't happy about granting a huge discount on their GM debt.

The trick now is to find someone to run the automaker. Good luck with the headhunting.

How many top-notch corporate executives will jump at the chance to lead a company that is sinking like a rock? Who will be willing to share the corporate suite with federal bureaucrats? And by the way, the job pays a buck a year, and if you need to fly, it better be coach.

Running a tobacco company has to have more appeal.

Wagoner wasn't perfect. He was too slow in beginning the makeover of General Motors -- though for the record, he got it underway well before the industry needed a federal rescue.

He wasn't aggressive enough about cost cutting, perhaps, and was reluctant to declare the death match with the United Auto Workers union that some in Congress demand.

But he knew about building cars and trucks, and had put a plan in place to do so profitably once again. The next GM chief will have to take over that blueprint mid-stream and sail it through. The departure of the popular Wagoner will also be another hit to employee morale.

There's another thread running through this story.

Obama has been banged around the last couple of weeks because of the bonus scandal at AIG. His administration, with the help of Congress, botched the aid package to the failed insurance giant, allowing the indefensible bonuses to be paid and triggering public outrage that is increasingly focused on the White House.

Dumping Wagoner lets Obama deflect attention away from Wall Street, where his Treasury Department is still moving through quicksand, and turn it on Detroit.

He can portray himself as being tough on the corporate executives who are ruining America, without having to draw blood from the bankers.

As for Wagoner, we have to believe he slept better Sunday night than he has in a long while. He loved General Motors. He spent his entire career moving up through the ranks.

The balance sheet on his tenure will show much on the positive side. GM finally has a model line-up that offers competitive vehicles from top to bottom. Had it not been for the meltdown of the financial markets and the resulting recession, GM would have been well positioned to sell some cars. Give credit to Wagoner.

It's also leading the race to develop marketable electric vehicles, another Wagoner priority.

And when a scapegoat was needed, Wagoner put his head on the block.

Wagoner has been put through hell the last six months. He is not the bad guy in the collapse of the auto industry, and shouldn't be remembered that way.



To: geode00 who wrote (193560)3/30/2009 10:43:32 PM
From: stockman_scottRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
Things Not to Worry About (Geithner Plan Edition)

newyorker.com

by James Surowiecki

The Financial Times’s Martin Wolf (via Matt Yglesias) says that the Geithner Plan — or, as Wolf tellingly calls it, “this scheme”—is going to make the banking crisis worse, by making government involvement in the financial system more unpopular with voters. Why?

If this scheme works, a number of the fund managers are going to make vast returns. I fear this is going to convince ordinary Americans that their government is a racket run for the benefit of Wall Street. Now imagine what happens if, after “stress tests” of the country’s biggest banks are completed, the government concludes - surprise, surprise! - that it needs to provide more capital. How will it persuade Congress to pay up?

Of all the myriad objections to the Geithner plan, this one (which I’ve seen floated in a couple of other places as well) strikes me as by far the least convincing. In the first place, it’s highly unlikely that any fund manager is going to make “vast returns” in the short run by buying toxic assets. The whole point of these assets is that there is effectively no secondary market on which to trade them—the way you’re going to make money investing in them is by buying them at a discount to their true value and holding them over time, so that you can reap the cash flows they generate. I wouldn’t be surprised if people did get rich buying these assets, because I think investors’ risk aversion has likely driven many of them below their true value. But it’ll likely be years before any fortunes are made from these assets—long after Congress will have had to decide whether or not to put more money into the banking system.

There is, to be fair, one way that fortunes could be made in the short run on these assets, which is if the Geithner plan works exactly as it’s supposed to, with the initial purchases of toxic assets encouraging other investors to take a risk on buying them, sparking in turn the emergence of a genuinely liquid secondary market where these assets could be bought and sold. I have to say that doesn’t seem likely (I’d settle for people buying the assets and holding them to maturity), but if it happens, it’s plausible that someone who bought a pool of assets at 45 might be able to sell it at 60 six months later, which would be a hefty profit at 6 to 1 leverage. But if that happens, no one’s going to be complaining, because it’ll mean that, to a large extent, the toxic-asset problem will have been mitigated and the banking system will be considerably healthier than it is today.

It’s also true that if private investors in these partnerships make “vast fortunes,” then the Treasury Department is going to do very well in these partnerships too, since it’s splitting the returns with the private investors 50-50. Now, one can imagine a scenario in which a few of these partnerships do very well while most of them lose money, leaving the Treasury with losses on the whole. Nonetheless, any hedge-fund manager who makes a ton of money investing in these assets will also make the Treasury a ton of money, which will mute any backlash. There are a lot of things about the Geithner Plan that are worth thinking hard about. This just isn’t one of them.