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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: THE ANT who wrote (47974)3/30/2009 4:38:17 PM
From: Elroy Jetson1 Recommendation  Respond to of 217906
 
The debt to GDP ratio will likely rise initially as GDP declines, just as it did from 1929 to 1932.

But ultimately it will decline. I see no way we can hold off a deleveraging as has been attempted so far.

As an example most radio and television owners, both public and private, are loaded to the gills with debt and advertising revenues are down 55%. Obviously they'll need to reorganize under bankruptcy protection, eliminating their current shareholders and making the current debt owners into shareholders. What's the alternative? The government can buy billions of dollars of 60 second advertisements?

There will be so many reorganizations under bankruptcy in the coming years that they will cease to be newsworthy. People will look back and wonder why it took GM so long to file for bankruptcy and what the concern was.
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To: THE ANT who wrote (47974)3/31/2009 1:38:40 PM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 217906
 
Help is on the way: Sam Zell Looks to Brazil to Change His Luck after his disastrous buyout of Tribune Co., is trying to capitalize on what many analysts say is a pent-up demand for housing in Brazil through its 19% stake in homebuilder Gafisa SA.

online.wsj.com