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To: Keith Feral who wrote (76014)	4/8/2009 6:47:35 PM
From: Cogito Ergo Sum	Respond to of 118717

Since I started 'investing' on my own... it's been a game of spotting and riding the next bubble.. Sometimes you have a couple to choose from :o) Probably the most important and useful thing (indicator) I have discovered is that when I feel absolutely GREAT about the market (and my holdings).. THAT has always been a great sell single.. The hardest thing for me is to not get back on the train because it has not derailed yet and you think you are missing out but really you actually got off in time.... Still learning how to fade myself.. :O) TBS

To: Keith Feral who wrote (76014)	4/8/2009 7:50:08 PM
From: bluezuu	Respond to of 118717

Auto sales have been declining since 2000. I had not followed sales. But looks like the peak was 2000, but sales were up in sequentially in 2004 and 2005. Full size pickups peaked in 2004. They really dropped off huge in 2008. From 2000, sales of luxury cars went up every year until a slight decline in 2007 and a bigger decline in 2008. Small cars bottomed in 2004 and went up each of the next four years including 2008. Questions for me. * What would the demand for cars would be without incentives. * What happens if the number of households shrink. That is, someone moves home because of a recession. * How long would a car last in a places without salt if you just rebuilt the engine?