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Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: JimisJim who wrote (119658)	4/9/2009 3:15:04 PM
From: Selectric II	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 206323

Why wouldn't the next 9/11 be by sea? In fact, it could be much more subtle... the mad Egyptian doctor al-Zwahari has his Somali friends quietly smuggle a portable nuclear device obtained from ____ (Pakistan? N. Korea? Iran? Fill in the blank) onto each of a few hijacked ships full of oil or toxic chemicals, stow them in inconspicuous places, depart the ships when the ransom is paid, and detonate them remotely or with a timing device later when the ships reach major industrial, energy, or heavily populated ports. No need to worry about getting a bomb in a container past TSA or customs. It would make 9/11 look like batting practice.

To: JimisJim who wrote (119658)	4/9/2009 3:35:58 PM
From: axial	3 Recommendations Respond to of 206323

The problem (IMO) goes deeper than it looks. The real problem is the fact that AQ is slowly destabilizing and penetrating Africa. Efforts at disrupting Saudi Arabia and other exporters have been unsuccessful so far, so a flanking movement has begun. At the rate things are going, another decade may see the transformation of areas adjacent to seaways into hostile regimes. In time, weapons will become longer-range and more powerful - particularly worrisome WRT LNG shipments. It hardly matters, when we see the damage done to USS Cole by an ordinary dhow. This is a slow, effective low-budget strategy. It doesn't require complete day-by-day success, and it doesn't require complete national control: proxies from impoverished destabilized areas will do. It's only necessary to subject shipping to the same sort of unpredictable guerrilla attacks seen on land. There are two targets: the West, and status quo powers in the Middle East. Military solutions may be short-term successful, but in the long run, ineffective and cost-prohibitive. Even if shipping channels are kept open, insurance and active protection costs will skyrocket. Shipping will become more expensive, both directly and indirectly. JMO, Jim